A few issues with CAIS...
For the intended purpose it is actually
a pretty good setup - the purpose as I
understand it is to help even out SHORT
TERM market fluctuations and weather
related issues. It does not deal with
long term concerns or DISASTERS. A good
example may be if GMO wheat is let loose
and the borders are closed to SK wheat.
That would be more than a market
fluctuation. The beef sector has been
lucky to have been saddled with BSE,
drought and extreme market
concentration, coupled with
protectionism from one of our most
important market.
I think CAIS was a risk management
program, but not a disaster program. I
think CFIA has impeded trade, been
unfair/inconsistent in its' dealings
with industry, government has been
extremely poor at trade negotiations,
and agriculture is totally off the
radar.
We have suffered from very poor
representation and inconsistent messages
from our own sector and have effectively
cut off innovation at the knees in terms
of market access, development of
processing capacity, and trade
agreements.
We are now being legislated to produce
to higher and higher standards with an
industry structure that will allow a
very select few to actually capture the
value from that investment. I think we
will see increasingly rapid
consolidation in Canada, and will become
like the poultry industry in the US.
The farmer will own the land and
facilities and produce on contract for
pennies per head per day. A few
innovators will target specific markets
(eg: local) and the family farm and
neighbourhood will basically be gone.
Unless there is a real public
determination that they want it to be
different, I don't see the status quo
changing. I do see opportunity around
the fringes and in the mainstream, but
it will look pretty different than
today.
FWIW...
For the intended purpose it is actually
a pretty good setup - the purpose as I
understand it is to help even out SHORT
TERM market fluctuations and weather
related issues. It does not deal with
long term concerns or DISASTERS. A good
example may be if GMO wheat is let loose
and the borders are closed to SK wheat.
That would be more than a market
fluctuation. The beef sector has been
lucky to have been saddled with BSE,
drought and extreme market
concentration, coupled with
protectionism from one of our most
important market.
I think CAIS was a risk management
program, but not a disaster program. I
think CFIA has impeded trade, been
unfair/inconsistent in its' dealings
with industry, government has been
extremely poor at trade negotiations,
and agriculture is totally off the
radar.
We have suffered from very poor
representation and inconsistent messages
from our own sector and have effectively
cut off innovation at the knees in terms
of market access, development of
processing capacity, and trade
agreements.
We are now being legislated to produce
to higher and higher standards with an
industry structure that will allow a
very select few to actually capture the
value from that investment. I think we
will see increasingly rapid
consolidation in Canada, and will become
like the poultry industry in the US.
The farmer will own the land and
facilities and produce on contract for
pennies per head per day. A few
innovators will target specific markets
(eg: local) and the family farm and
neighbourhood will basically be gone.
Unless there is a real public
determination that they want it to be
different, I don't see the status quo
changing. I do see opportunity around
the fringes and in the mainstream, but
it will look pretty different than
today.
FWIW...
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