the second part of the question is what is the cost of that energy?
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The Ethanol Mandate is Killing the Cattle and Hog Industry – Kevin Grier, George Morris Centre
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Lots of interesting comments but a few points are not being aired in my opinion. No 1 what is the efficiency of ethanol? - ie how much fossil fuel do we burn to produce the fertiliser, fuel the machinery, grow the crop, harvest it and truck the ddg to a feedlot? I suspect the whole thing is a bogus enterprise producing little or no extra net energy.
No 2 most farmers are under the illusion that there is a "cheap food policy" because their farm receipts barely cover the cost of production. You can't ignore the role of processors and retailers in keeping prices to farmers low and ultimately they have a bigger role in determining future prices farmers receive than either farmers or consumers wishes. Food takes a lesser % of consumers dollars than in the past but that doesn't necessarily make it cheap - most of the problem is farmers are selling only raw materials and not getting paid for them. Funny whenever supply management is mentioned all the farmers complain that cheese is too dear. You can't have it both ways - you don't like a "cheap food policy" but when a sector gets an adequate return to cover their investment you don't like that either.
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Newguy, that would only be the case if ethanol production returned a reasonable quantity of ethanol to replace the fossil fuel consumed to produce it. I'm not convinced that case has been made yet.
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Burnt,
"Ummm, seems to me that if farmers don't like producing cheap food they shouldn't do it."
Take your own advice there ole fellow... the days of cheap meat are over. Good thing. Eat more beans peas and cereals.
The price of Corn has WAY more to do with the price of BLACK OIL... same with soy and canola.
I am very disappointed in the GMC... too many directors bought into big livestock... and so their work is less helpful every year.
BLACK OIL is the issue and problem... as long as the 'global warming religion' rules... oil will go higher... conservation will occur... new supplies found... efficiencies found for ethanol production... biodiesel... this IS GOOD!!!
70 percent of the economy in 3rd world countries is about agriculture. High prices will be good for anyone that produces food. IN CANADA for Welfare bums...perhaps many could find a garden spot if they would drop the drugs/ booze and do a little work.
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I agree with TOM on this one. Petroleum is high and society has decided we need to get off the fossil fuel treadmill. They want fuel and they want alternatives to oil and it appears they are willing to pay for it.
Ethanol probably doesn't make much sense from a "net" energy perspective right now, but it might be a stepping stone to something better? Switch grass apparently has the potential to not only create fuel but also plastics....someday we might be able to replace a lot of grainland with switch grass?
We are told again and again we must reduce C02. The best way possible is growing trees....what about re-planting the forests in the parkland areas....and paying the farmers a real market value for carbon capture?
If society wants fuel and reduced GHG (and are willing to pay for it) that is what we should be trying to provide?
I further think TOM might have hit it on the head when he said the days of cheap meat are over? Maybe meat should be considered a luxury instead of a staple and be priced accordingly?
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Wheatking
The conversion factor to dried distiller grains is about 30 %. That is, one tonne of corn yields about 300 kg of ddg (both 10 to 12 % moisture).
Energy is actually fairly high on corn ddg - oil in corn left behind.
Protein is also likely meaning overfeeding relative to the animals needs - not sure on the impact on nitrates in manure/urine.
Feedlots (from what people tell me) like the impact of ddg's on animal performance. Can use up to 30 %.
Wheat ddg is different than corn.
Haven't done any work on the energy balance of ethanol - has been lots of work done though. Example below from USDA.
[URL="http://www.usda.gov/oce/reports/energy/2008Ethanol_June_final.pdf"]corn ethanol[/URL]
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There is no doubt that high grain prices contribute to difficulty in keeping the hog industry viable. Beef production could be a different story. Those amazing 4 stomachs on a cow, if supplied with the right amount and type of protein can use all sorts of byproducts to maintain themselves and grow. A litle good hay, or DDGs, can help a cow winter on straw. I think the future is bright for beef because they can use all sorts of fiber type byproducts. The only limit is imagination.
In terms of greenhouse gases (I don't personally subcribe to the Al Gore crappola) cattle eat forages. In my mind one of the best methods of carbon banking is the production of perennial forage.
I love cows for what they can do. The way they convert grass to meat and if planned correctly, they can do most of the work themselves even in winter eg. stockpiled pasture, swath and bale grazing, and use no fossil fuel to do it. The only thing better would be to have green cows. When they got out in the neighbours crop he couldn't see them.
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