COMMERCIAL BRED HEIFERS SOLD AT AGRIBITION REACHING NEW HEIGHTS

[perfecho]

Add a 0 for todays dollars and you wouldn;t be too far off.
We think cattle are high now....during the high of the seventies, producers sold calves at close to a dollar a pound..... you could buy a vehicle for 7 calves, a 1/4 section for your calf crop.........personally I don't think calves are high today, however I will agree it is a hell of a lot better!

[ALLFARMER]

Bred cows were $850 - $900 a year ago. Now
$1300/$1500 that's a 40% increase.

It sounds like everyone feels high calf prices are
here to stay.

[SADIE]

Allfarmer--Talking to you on two threads now.

Here is how I see it IMHO and I could be wrong and as time goes on we will see the results. This thread should create some critism but "Good" "I'm am used to that by now"

Forget about any worldly thing that can fudge the cattle market now look at what doesn't change when you look at the Canadian Cow-herd.

1)Winter feed supply----looks great basically throughout the country---Yes/No

2)I believe because of the higher prices many grey haired/aged people are using this year to get out and complete dispersal Yes/No. For every 100 cow herd dispersal 25%-30% will be culls and slaughered????

Getting out because of:
1)good price now finally
2)Want to go south for winter months
3)working off farm
4)the shift to the grain sector
5)THE UNREACHABLE REGULATORY DEMANDS---Shortage in PFRA PASTURES --now Hon Ritz wants to sell PFRA pastures////

3)What is going to happen 2011 prairies basically had huge grain harvest in quality & quantity. What is going to happen in a year of off grades and quantity?? where is that going to be fed.

Where is the real opportunity in agriculture right now---Grain sector or the beef sector?

[kato]

He wants to sell the PFRA pastures? I believe that was one of my predictions (which is somewhere on Agri-ville, but I can't remember where).

I wish I had been wrong on that one.

[SADIE]

Kato--last contact tonight. I sat on the PFRA advisor for the 4 years to take my turn and learn the rules. I have been off the advisor now for 4 and are being begged to go back on. My term 6-8 years ago applications were tight and any increase---wow you might get a new patron in with 10 head or an increase of a couple per year. During that time talk was a pasture fee increase to make pastures "break even" or "functionally operational". This was when pastures were always maxed out with capacity. Now massive shortages in pastures around Saskatchewan. Why?? Patrons selling out of the business. Like mentioned age, off farm job, switch to grain and really (talk to the people)---They are boycotting the RFID tagging and retagging laws--The regulations. Traceability is a swearword to many and they have just thrown up their hands and saying "BYE BYE COWS".

Now recent Western Producer (Last two weeks)---Ritz talking of selling PFRA'S.

[kato]

Thanks for the info. This might deserve it's own thread.

[ALLFARMER]

Producers may be getting out but cows are
selling In many areas for much more than meat
price.

I figure 2 things are driving high bred cow prices
1) the massive hay yields 2) the current strong
price calf run

This year we personally didn't get a good hay
crop, down 35% So I guess I will wait and hope
guys fill up with bred cattle and the prices come
late January / Feb soften. At least we save feed
from now till then.