I'll play devil's advocate for a bit...
How about the expenses involved in keeping cattle for a longer time? I have a hard time believing we'd be farther ahead wintering small calves 'cheap', grassing them, and waiting until next fall for a cheque.
How about cash flow or such things as interest costs? At the present time, interest rates are not that severe, but I remember the days when they could literally put you out of business.
Or the cost of the land needed to grass those calves? (That's a big one.)Or the fact that the longer you own them, there is always the chance of losing one or two?
And then there's the issue of teeth. I have a feeling that in the next several years, teeth are going to be a hot topic in the cattle business. Right now, even if they have a birth certificate, if the vet says his teeth say he's too old, then he's too old.
What is this going to do to the yearling grass market? A calf born in May, and grassed the next year will come to the feedlot at about 17 months of age. Give him another 400 pounds at 3 pounds a day, and he's 21 months old. If these cattle have been on grass, (which is hard on their teeth), there will be fats at this age that do fail the mouth test. It's a very costly test to fail. Profit can go out the window very quickly if even a percentage of these calves lose their UTM status.
Will the future move to calves that can come off the cow, onto grain and out the other end of the feedlot at 13 months? Even with the higher inputs, having a 100% pass rate on the mouth test will be a definite incentive to go this way.
Just my thoughts.
How about the expenses involved in keeping cattle for a longer time? I have a hard time believing we'd be farther ahead wintering small calves 'cheap', grassing them, and waiting until next fall for a cheque.
How about cash flow or such things as interest costs? At the present time, interest rates are not that severe, but I remember the days when they could literally put you out of business.
Or the cost of the land needed to grass those calves? (That's a big one.)Or the fact that the longer you own them, there is always the chance of losing one or two?
And then there's the issue of teeth. I have a feeling that in the next several years, teeth are going to be a hot topic in the cattle business. Right now, even if they have a birth certificate, if the vet says his teeth say he's too old, then he's too old.
What is this going to do to the yearling grass market? A calf born in May, and grassed the next year will come to the feedlot at about 17 months of age. Give him another 400 pounds at 3 pounds a day, and he's 21 months old. If these cattle have been on grass, (which is hard on their teeth), there will be fats at this age that do fail the mouth test. It's a very costly test to fail. Profit can go out the window very quickly if even a percentage of these calves lose their UTM status.
Will the future move to calves that can come off the cow, onto grain and out the other end of the feedlot at 13 months? Even with the higher inputs, having a 100% pass rate on the mouth test will be a definite incentive to go this way.
Just my thoughts.
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