15444 is exactly right in all of the points raised. Grassfarmer and RKaiser, how many producers in Alberta are full-time farmers who depend on the price of the calf for their sole source of living? Not many I'd say, and how many of those full-timers are planning to still be in the business in three or four years?
Most of the full timers that I know are like myself, getting old with lots of equity and getting a little tired. How many of us do you guys think will even be in the business in, say, five years?
Nobody I know has any faith in the ABP so it's hard for anyone to be enthusiastic about going to a meeting for a group that purports to represent us but has done nothing since BSE hit.
It's also true that the cow-calf guy hasnt been hit all that hard yet anyways. Apart from the fact that he can't sell his culls for a decent price, the price he's been getting for his calves has not been that bad. I think all of that is going to change this fall because the feeders continue to take a licking but it hasn't happened to date.
As 15444 states, all the handouts just encourage the part-timers to stay in the business. I hate to say this, and I know a lot of guys will not like it, but as long as we are a business that has an easy entry point so that part-timers and hobby farmers can easily get in, the full timers will always be hard pressed to make a living. It's pretty simple--when you produce a commodity the producers that survive will be those that do not care what price they produce the product for.
Unfortunatly, grassfarmer, that isn't the 10% most efficient--it's the producers who have off-farm income because they don't care at all about efficiency or the price they receive for their calves. It doesn't matter much to them because it is not their main income source. That's why, grassfarmer, chasing the goal of top 10% efficiency is a losing effort and will not save the full-time farmer. This is the same red herring we have been chasing for 50 years by increasing production--all it does is make the fertilizer companies rich--a full time farm that has to depend on prices to live cannot compete in the same business with a part-timer no matter how efficient it is.
Being efficient is a good thing and something we strive for but, by itself, it will not enable you to compete with people who are not efficient and do not care if they make money or not. These, by the way, are the same people who make up most of our industry and who do not care much about changing things for the better in our industry. Farming to them is like hunting to lots of us--it's a lot of fun but you don't expect to make a living from it.
Is it any wonder that we can't get the government to take us seriously?
kpb
Most of the full timers that I know are like myself, getting old with lots of equity and getting a little tired. How many of us do you guys think will even be in the business in, say, five years?
Nobody I know has any faith in the ABP so it's hard for anyone to be enthusiastic about going to a meeting for a group that purports to represent us but has done nothing since BSE hit.
It's also true that the cow-calf guy hasnt been hit all that hard yet anyways. Apart from the fact that he can't sell his culls for a decent price, the price he's been getting for his calves has not been that bad. I think all of that is going to change this fall because the feeders continue to take a licking but it hasn't happened to date.
As 15444 states, all the handouts just encourage the part-timers to stay in the business. I hate to say this, and I know a lot of guys will not like it, but as long as we are a business that has an easy entry point so that part-timers and hobby farmers can easily get in, the full timers will always be hard pressed to make a living. It's pretty simple--when you produce a commodity the producers that survive will be those that do not care what price they produce the product for.
Unfortunatly, grassfarmer, that isn't the 10% most efficient--it's the producers who have off-farm income because they don't care at all about efficiency or the price they receive for their calves. It doesn't matter much to them because it is not their main income source. That's why, grassfarmer, chasing the goal of top 10% efficiency is a losing effort and will not save the full-time farmer. This is the same red herring we have been chasing for 50 years by increasing production--all it does is make the fertilizer companies rich--a full time farm that has to depend on prices to live cannot compete in the same business with a part-timer no matter how efficient it is.
Being efficient is a good thing and something we strive for but, by itself, it will not enable you to compete with people who are not efficient and do not care if they make money or not. These, by the way, are the same people who make up most of our industry and who do not care much about changing things for the better in our industry. Farming to them is like hunting to lots of us--it's a lot of fun but you don't expect to make a living from it.
Is it any wonder that we can't get the government to take us seriously?
kpb
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