• You will need to login or register before you can post a message. If you already have an Agriville account login by clicking the login icon on the top right corner of the page. If you are a new user you will need to Register.

Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

AU being burnt up?

Collapse
X
Collapse
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

    AU being burnt up?

    Dear Charlie,

    I just read this... the crop is never in the bin... til it is in the bin!

    Our prayers go out to the folks down under. Fires... crops burning up.

    From the Callum Downs newsletter I subscribe to... one of the best yet... to give a window on the world!

    'Victorian and SA Crops I think the crop is in real trouble as
    harvest progresses into later regions. A client from
    Jamestown was describing wheat in heavy ground that had
    been topped up with N, as being green, and smelling like hay
    - basically the crop has died, not ripened, and effectively it is
    like cured hay that is still standing.
    Kaniva In the Kaniva region, the crops have just packed it in
    completely. Canola and faba beans are not too bad, but wheat,
    barley and lentils are just a disaster, much as we have been
    reporting for a week now.
    Here is how the official yield estimates of durum area
    contracts have gone
    6 weeks ago 4.5 ¨C 5.0 t/ha
    Last week 3.0 t/ha
    Today Crop dead © not ripe, but dead.
    The expectation (or maybe the reality on some early wheat
    harvest) is 50% screenings in bread wheat. Barely that should
    have hit malt is just making F2.
    Lentils that were assessed at 3 t/ha 3 ¨C 4 weeks ago are now
    being harvested. Yield is 1.0t/ha of rubbish.
    Mid North SA The early regions in SA on EP and north of
    Adelaide, are OK (I think!). The later crops north of
    Adelaide, in the heavier soil, higher rainfall regions, are
    dying, not ripening, and I think the quality and yield will
    nosedive. Again, canola is more likely to be OK, as long as in
    the windrow it survives the hot windy weather, and now the
    expected rain.
    Here is a quote from an email from a highly respected Mid
    North operator
    Looked at some of our Coral wheat yesterday at Merilden /
    Manoora, 3 weeks ago would have said the yield would be 5 m/t per
    h easily, now at least 30% down due to the hot weather and maybe
    some signs of frost damage. Heads have just hayed off.
    Heading to the chemist for the razor blades.
    Being a marketing adviser, my advice was to grow a beard, so
    that he has no need to go anywhere near a chemist shop for
    razor blades. Trust me, I know!!
    Yield Potential As you now I gave the running commentary
    on yield potential at Callum Downs all year. Just to remind
    you where we finished.
    Best Ever WUE 6.596 t/ha
    Average WUE 4.513 t/ha
    Worst ever WUE 2.962 t/ha
    I think the heatwave is pushing crops down to the worst ever
    WUE, and yields of 3 t/ha rather than 4.5 ¨C 5 t/ha. Then there
    is the quality????"

    #2
    That is just the tip of the iceberg. Australia could be facing a complete disaster for the entire country. Check out Youtube and Australian Drought.

    Comment


      #3
      Some videos are from 2007 and 2008. Search 2009.

      Comment


        #4
        Keep telling world markets best ever crop and mother nature willscrew it up every time. Soy in brazil not finished aseeding but on way to largest ever. USDA largest corn and bean crop even though the harvest has most still in field being burnt in ND an MN. The world lives on short supply of grain and one day will be caught without. But fornow sorry site in Australia. No one from home area going down under to harvest this fall so have no contacts for sise of crop. Argentina is no out of woods yet.

        Comment


          #5
          Below is Profarmer Australia's call on Aussie Production from yesterday.

          <a href="http://www.agriculture.com/ag/futuresource/FutureSourceStoryIndex.jhtml;jsessionid=HHNZTRHVWT PBOCQCEAQSAOQ?storyType=grain&storyId=173400892">a ussie crop production</a>

          Comment


            #6
            My crops are below average without being a disaster,they were basically 90% ripe before the big heat hit

            the later areas are the hardest hit and the very very early sown crops which didnt benifiit from late rains in sept/oct

            many reporting crops only yielding about 50% of visual expectations.

            doubt the markets will blink a eyelid if australias estimates are cut by 2 or 3 million tonne maybe supportive for prices but a rise in prices i doubt it

            had basically 20 days over 35 and about 10 of them over 40 peaking at 43.5

            Comment

            • Reply to this Thread
            • Return to Topic List
            Working...