I accept your opinion as a lawyer that there is no traction on applicant liability for Triffid. Your opinion and mine too, may or may not ever be confirmed on that particular point.
As a farmer I may have an opinion that Viterra and Cargill (as multinational parent companies ) will not lose a dime and may do very well because of this generic problem. I suspect that the dozens of very Canadian railway hopper cars on US railway tracks; pulled by Canadian Pacific engines are not out on a Christmas food bank drive.
It could be that Canadian flax is just taking a different route to Europe; or being exchanged for less stringently tested (as in fewer tests and maybe submitting samples from least likely problem spots; or maybe just using a test that was I'm told 10 times less sensitive a couple of months; just so the US can say they never have found a positive test. Thats hard to believe. However; thats all speculation; but there's always a grain of truth in even the wildest rumors. In late January; Ameriflax told me they had 150 some odd tests completed; and all were negative. She said they were done same way as Canadian tests If tests were done in Nov/Dec in Canada at 0.1 % level; maybe they decided no further tests were needed. In Canada we all know we are suckers for punishment; so we test for0.01% and continue till we find lots more..
Back to Cargill. As of late January; the people at the Cargill booth at Minot ND farm show were not at all concerned with Triffid or testing. ADM (Archer Daniels Midland) was not at all concerned with an affect on their company; or were scared of our contaminated Canadian flax. None of the elevator companies I talked too had any reservations. To be honest I heard second hand that Harvest States was on lookout for Triffid; but I never noticed their booth or you can bet I would have dropped by.
The local elevator at Max literally said "What's Triffid".
In summary; with opportunities of retail certified seed supplies; and ability to further lock production contracts in with credit arrangements for all inputs; and the ability to download all costs onto farmers; none of us (especially non-farmers) have any clue if Viterra and Cargill will end up with margins and volumes that have increased because of the Triffid incident. Thats my farmer opinion.
As a farmer I may have an opinion that Viterra and Cargill (as multinational parent companies ) will not lose a dime and may do very well because of this generic problem. I suspect that the dozens of very Canadian railway hopper cars on US railway tracks; pulled by Canadian Pacific engines are not out on a Christmas food bank drive.
It could be that Canadian flax is just taking a different route to Europe; or being exchanged for less stringently tested (as in fewer tests and maybe submitting samples from least likely problem spots; or maybe just using a test that was I'm told 10 times less sensitive a couple of months; just so the US can say they never have found a positive test. Thats hard to believe. However; thats all speculation; but there's always a grain of truth in even the wildest rumors. In late January; Ameriflax told me they had 150 some odd tests completed; and all were negative. She said they were done same way as Canadian tests If tests were done in Nov/Dec in Canada at 0.1 % level; maybe they decided no further tests were needed. In Canada we all know we are suckers for punishment; so we test for0.01% and continue till we find lots more..
Back to Cargill. As of late January; the people at the Cargill booth at Minot ND farm show were not at all concerned with Triffid or testing. ADM (Archer Daniels Midland) was not at all concerned with an affect on their company; or were scared of our contaminated Canadian flax. None of the elevator companies I talked too had any reservations. To be honest I heard second hand that Harvest States was on lookout for Triffid; but I never noticed their booth or you can bet I would have dropped by.
The local elevator at Max literally said "What's Triffid".
In summary; with opportunities of retail certified seed supplies; and ability to further lock production contracts in with credit arrangements for all inputs; and the ability to download all costs onto farmers; none of us (especially non-farmers) have any clue if Viterra and Cargill will end up with margins and volumes that have increased because of the Triffid incident. Thats my farmer opinion.
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