Eleven Hard Nosed Questions to Ask Yourself in the Shower

[parsley]

1. Which currency will probably take the biggest dive in value in 2010?

2. Will interest rates rise a lot?

3. Am I comfortable with my operating loan?

4. Will my operating loan rise a lot, compared to other years, to put in the 2010 crop?

5. Where does most of the grain I grow, after the handler is done shipping, end up, and will they still buy if their dollar is devalued?

5. Do I gain more money by growing more bushels, or just turn over more money?

6. Are my contracts becoming a scarey variable?

7. How can I reduce my biggest expenses?

8. Who really bears the risk of inflationary costs?

9. Can I be sure of my penciled-in profits in the fall to pay taxes?

10. If risk is becoming unmanageable, is increase in bushels the best way to pocket net profit or is grain price increase the best way to pocket profit?

11. What's the downside of growing even more and more and more and more bushels?

Easy way to clean up your act.lol Pars

[SASKFARMER3]

1. USA
2. YES
3. YES
4. NO
5. YES
6. NO
7. No
8. Yes
9. Farmer
10. YES
11. No
12. You eventually phone Richie brothers and its all over. What a fun ride. But you get a nice hat.

[parsley]

#5...I'm curious. If farmers bank more because of more bushels, how come the average provincial net income always seems to be in the tank?

[SASKFARMER3]

Heading out the door, Your right Most farmers loose loose loose. Winners are us one in 10 years that was 2008 but now 2010 seems like long road of Zeros.

[checking]

7. Send her packing.

[SASKFARMER3]

I like that one send her packing. Yes that is one of the greatest expenses but also great treasures.

[parsley]

checking,
You of all AV'ers, is the one I thought would have chosen the loaded model. LOL Pars

[parsley]

#5. You think Americans will buy Canadian grain when the loonie is $1.25?

[TOM4CWB]

Parsley,

Before the answer to any of these questions can be attempted... 'will North America have a normal, or below normal crop volume in 2010'?

Are the Chinese the key to this... when does this bubble pop... and do we want to be on the planet when it does?

[parsley]

" normal, or below normal"

Weather.

Maybe the question should be: "Does a """""normal"""""" crop make farmers lots of money? After all, growing more and more is normal.

"Are the Chinese the key"


The Chinese have built a "Billionated Piggy Bank" as their chequing account.
Mind you, they starve their people to do it; farmers get about five or so hundred dollars a year. But that's their system, and they love it.

Instead of Chinese currency coming into force, (They promote themselves as the successor to the $AM user profile) could a group of nations, including Canada, boldy set out with a "combined currency" force? No one country is srong enough to go it alone. But a combined currency?

The US is going to get dragged, kicking and screaming, through a currency drought right smart.

Pars

[jensend]

for a different opinion on the usd.

http://watch.bnn.ca/thursday/#clip278014

[hobbyfrmr]

Parsley,

Here are some questions for you.

#1. On an old AV post, Parsley was looking to 3rd party source organic/not sprayed barley for $8.00/bushel. Was this true or was she just typing?
#2. I followed up on that AV post, we talked on the phone and then the story became more opaque and elusive, leading to NO SOLID CREDIBLE leads. If I recall, the quote was "they will call you".
#3. Is parsley really that credible, or just typing semi controversial stuff to advertise her blog? Like Gormley does on the radio?
#4. This year is your organic market contract prices going to reflect profitable prices?
#5. How many organic producers are going to exit the organic industry,and throw plow down (smf) acres back into conventional (GMO) canola, and risk the 4 years transition back into organic...or just stay out?
#6. Is the US going to buy organic grains?
#7. IS the US going to buy organic grains? (purposely redundant).
People who live in glass houses should not throw stones..
Some birds love to hear themselves sing.

[checking]

I know how you may feel, hobbyfrmr. However, consider this. Parsley's taken a devious hit that has turned her attention away from her incessant chatter. It was nice while it lasted. (lol)

On the matter of flax, I was told that there was a $1.00/bushel spread difference in human grade selected flax and bulk flax. So, pandering to the customers whims was worth it. Ed White (Winnipeg bureau) claims the spread is 50 cents/bushel, and that at one time that spead was only 10 to 15 cents per bushel.

Just like there is a little bit of triffid in my flax, so too is there a little bit of truth in what Parsley, or any of us say. Just relax. It's not life ending.

[parsley]

Hobby,

Here are a few answers for you.

#1. We get requests for product all the time. From large and small companies. Domestic and export.I posted them on my blog for awhile, but it was too time consuming putting buyer and seller together, and often thankless. Also get calls from people looking to sell product, such as yourself, and I passed on your name as a courtesy. I am not a dealer, and have no designs on dealing. You mentioned you had been a dealer of sorts, hobby, so you'll be the expert.

#2. I do not ask for any commissions for any tips passed on, nor expect them
Often companies check on location to fill and facilitate trucking, and also on how easy a guy is to deal with for an export package. The organic business is a little like the malt business. You kinda get to know who and what a guy IS.

#3 I don't get paid for my blog work, nor allow advertising on it. It's my time and my say. I would suggest there is nothing you could learn from reading it.

#4. Organic market in 2010, you inquire, ....french lentils went out yesterday, and flax goes in a day or so, I think beginning of the week... $22.00 per bushel on the farm, price not quite as vibrant, but the harvest wasn't the best either. Heritage grains shipping out continulously. Sainfoin sales continual. etc. Lots of seed calls. I referred several people last week.

#5. "How many organic producers are going to exit the organic industry..."

Sounds as if you might know all the answers to this question, so I'll let you answer. I usually try and back my words up with data and links, and I'm afraid I have been galavanting and out of the loop, so I cannot reliably say x number will exit on October 31, 2010.

#6. Is the US going to buy organic grains? Barley for processing company prob heading south prob next month. We've sold to the same company for over 10 years or maybe 15, i can't remember.. Been down there. Get along well.Great people. No troubles, nor sarcasm. I'd tell you the price but you'd really call me a liar.

"Some birds love to hear themselves sing."

Not a peep from me again, so save your call(s). You obviously are able to out market anyone. Pars

[cottonpicken]

Pars-fk em they already are marginalized by their
lack of commitment and input-they need no
address.

Currency

We are in a state.

I hope i am wrong.

It wouldnt take many links to prove my canadian
dollar outlook for the past 6 years.

I think we may double from here.