Canola Why Marketing Genius in Calgary is Wrong!

[SASKFARMER3]

Get out of Calgary and actually look and see what is happening in Western Canada. My good god man where is your head. If your 18 million is correct take 10% off for flooded out acreage your down to 16.2 then. Take fact it is going to be June before most are rolling again. Dah June buddy what happens in Canada in three months FROST.Or canola flowering in July Hm wonder how that works when its 40C. My god and people actually pay for this advise it just amazes me. But probably all winter this is what these guys have been preaching farmers seed Canola wall to wall. And how is that working for you. Prices keep dropping every single day. But hey at least we got to say we got to 18 million acres, Farmers got shit all but hey we got our acreage up there. WO HO.

[SASKFARMER3]

Standing water and Canola. Hm Genius is it going to sprout and produce a bumper crop. Hm Lets see, Ah Crap my rubber boot is stuck in mud again. But from Calgary it must look like its germinating just fine. HA HA HA. Genius.

[bucket]

That is why I think they are manipulating the market.

No crop report verifies an 18 million acre crop.

BTW this should almost solve the durum problem in western canada as well. Hopefully the cwb has figured this out and put a hold on sales or at least jacked the price of durum. Oh shit, another text looking for durum, I wonder why?

[hlg]

Seems like people with no expirience and those who went broke all seem to become advisors!!

[bucket]

Latest news is things are going to dry out and plant a record crop because the demand justifies a large crop.

Yep, if everything goes right I might be seeding by the 5th of june but it won't be canola.

Also after looking at the pea crops seeded in April they are not making fantastic improvement. As a matter of fact guys have lost another 10% of their crop due to drowning.

I guess that doesn't happen to canola.

Why don't the experts mention this on their reports??????

[bgmb]

Yep, been getting lots of emails from viagra looking for canola. but bins are empty since winter and I'm long futures on my last 15%

[freewheat]

They only see the lucky manitobans who in some areas are actually SPRAYING canola. Happy for them, they should do well this year while the rest of us watch this measly crop sell for 14 bucks a bushel. With our bins empty.

[mbratrud]

I don't disagree with the acres, but for this guy to be shouting were going to $350 and lower I think that is a bit premature. I would like to see his S&D. Old Crop Carryout number? Yield trend maintained I don't think so. There is alot of growing season yet.... and I will bet a steak supper within 2 months there will again be chatter about whether or not the crop can beat the frost. People forget how close to disaster we were last year. There were a few days Aug that had we been 3 or 4 degrees colder would have cut yeilds in half and turned the markets on their head. Lets just try and get this shit in the ground, before we start shouting out how wonderful the crop is. As of last night I have lake front property and my little canola seeds need life jackets. I dont think Canadian tire sells them that small. My Lentils well time will tell but their fortunes don't look good.

[bucket]

You actually believe 18 million acres will be seeded?

[mbratrud]

Ask me in a week

[freewheat]

Think you'll need more than a week. Either that or you could look at the forecast and figure out by that how soon the largest canola region in canada will be back in the fields.
Not soon.

[boarderbloke]

- the highest yield potential areas of the field, now sit with water after being planted.
_ the highest yield potential areas of unseeded fields won't be planted and every rain will set the drill back further from the best land.
- if you start planting canola as soon as you can get out on the field it will be packed in so hard it will never come through if the sun finally shines, so for it to emerge, you'll need more rain!
- if you wait till the fields have better tilth, you move later into June.
- mbratrud's statement about missing the frost last year are still understated, disaster would have hardly decribed it, catastrophic would be a closer expression.
- El Nino is dissipating, so don't expect a fall like last year.
- will you be able to make timely incrop spray applications this year when the land is so wet? other years areas have had to be left due to too wet an' soft, or portions, of the field have been "cut off", so as you couldn't get to it with the sprayer.
- 18mil acres might end up on paper, I know when I file my crop ins. I will be including the acres already flooded that I know right now, won't produce or be harvested.