Bidding is out in the open, it's a true reflection of supply and demmand. Basis levels are more concealed and therefore generally do not trigger a "if they are willing to pay that maybe we should" response from the market. Aslo open market bidding generaly works it's way through all the futures month so they can't just steal our grain now fill up and pay even less for new crop. At least Nov was up $5 and change today.
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I have touched on these speacial deals before, most of the time they tie your hands and feet leaving you with less net money.
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ado089, still not understanding. Isn't a narrow basis offer out in the open too? We all call around to Viagra, cargill, pioneer etc to see what they are bidding when one of them offers a "special basis". And if "open market" bidding drives up futures what do you think will happen to the basis?
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A narrow basis or even a positive basis is out there in the sense that they can call you or you can call them. However these are generaly localy varriable and on a good day good day add up to $25/mt price difference. Where as if they are bidding in the open market everyone gets to see that someone wants canola, this usualy results in the other players, specutlators, hedge funds, ect thinking, "hey there's a shortage of canola out there, maybe we should invest in that" resulting in a more robust price movement.
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