Total production contest

[SASKFARMER3]

Well here goes since were so late and drowning out in Alberta, Manitoba and Saskatchewan. Hm didn't I call this one. Burpfart. Any way 63% and if it freezes first week of August wow the number will be even lower. Only one field of Canola or two Cabbaging on way to lake and that was at Balcarres. Most are just out of ground or maybe you can see rows. Cereals and Pulses a lovely yellow green. And lots of flooded out areas especially around Edgeley and Duff.

[cottonpicken]

Every farmer is a commodity trader whether he
knows it or not.

Why do you bother posting checking?

Its not like anything intelligent has ever come out of
your mouth.

I guess i shouldnt be surprised from someone who
wishes doom and gloom on his fellow man.

shallow thoughts shallow mind

[BFW]

If there is a -9 frost on August 24, beans will be alot higher than than $16/bu. There would be very few beans left except in the southern half of the US midwest or the delta. Certainly anything is possible and I sure hope we don't see that scenario. The pricing of #1 wheat , durum or spring would be like pricing a special crop which is in short supply. Its always fun to dream up worst case scenarios. I will call the crop 90 percent of normal based on that even in a dry year across the prairies there is always enough good spots to pull up the average. This year our dry areas are replaced with with washouts but with another extended growing season an exceptional July and August the western Canadian farmers continue to amaze the skeptics. (ourselves)

[Jay-mo]

I also will lean toward the higher side and say 90% of normal. We generally seem to have a bent towards negative outlooks. The last two years have been good examples of that. I know it took a hot and dry November to rescue alot of guys, but things turned out alright in the end for most.

[bigsteve]

I think its super important to break it dowm crop by crop.First of all,the brunt of the excess moisture situation is in sask.east-central and north-east.This is an area where 70% of canada's milling oats are grown.The farmers in those areas concentrated on seeding canola and wheat when they could.Very-very few oats are in the ground.I guess it at 10% of normal.Its going to be fun to watch the market rocket higher in the next few weeks.Anybody want to bet me a mickey of rum on it?

[checking]

You have extremely selective hearing, cp. You really should listen more. Specifically, show me where I wished the man who scrambled to get his last four hours of seeding in to get to 98% complete any ill will.

Perhaps you enjoy harvesting, storing and then hauling twice the loads down the road for half the money. I don't. Now, if you have a problem with that concept, I'd listen to your outline.

You accused a farmer, who by choice, and long prior to spring, decided not to seed a 2010 crop, and left the impression with audience that I was somehow profiting from what has happened. Explain yourself, and I will listen.

Otherwise, you're no better than Hyde.

[checking]

"Every farmer is a commodity trader whether he knows it or not."

Not even close to correct. Every farmer is a price taker.

Commodity traders have you by the gonads because they are aware of this great truth.

[rockpile]

I'm going to be bold and therefore piss everyone
off. June 19th, late seeding, too much moisture in a
lot of areas = 80% of normal production. Why do I
say that? Because most farmers look around at their
own little wreck and double it through hyperbole.
Those areas not blasted may well benefit and pick
up extra yields. Poor quality? I look at it this way.
You're in the woods hiking with a friend when
suddenly a grizzly bear gives chase. You don't have
to out run the bear, just your friend. Meaning,
standards can change quickly depending on what's
available. It may look bad, but it's too early to
scream 'chicken little'. In three weeks time those
yellowed underwater acres could be burning. Take a
prosac and wait and see. For those who were in the
middle of the tempest and all is lost - it is just more
of the same but different!

[SASKFARMER3]

Rockpile nice theory but problem this year with your scenario is their are 5 bears chasing you and your friend. Drive around, no not just your RM but the whole province and tell me where their are excellent crops for miles. WHERE ARE THEY!

[macdon02]

I would say Shellbrook to Battleford. Judging from highway not much for yellowing or flooded out.

[vvalk]

if we dont see another rain crops from lethbridge north in AB will be pretty good. in general

[cottonpicken]

You chose not to seed a crop?

Why are hanging out on this site if your not a real
farmer?

[cottonpicken]

Oh and specifically wishing pain on someone

right here you *** geek

http://www.agri-ville.com/cgi-
bin/forums/viewThread.cgi?1269580881

Your a hack wanna be real farmer that pisses
around with with a few acres.

leave the the real farmers alone and go be the the
big fish on some backyard gardening site

[saskcanfarmer]

Went to the farm show this past week. Made 1800 KMs around Saskatchewan. It is rough out there fellas. It's as bad as people say. Just because in your little area (As well as mine. Things look AWESOME) doesn't mean the unseeded/drowned out acres aren't HUGE.

I went From Lloydminster to Regina )and virtually everything (95 %) was seeded. Crops are excellent around the Battlefords. Late late LATE around Regina.

From Regina we went to Benson and a lot seeded. Some of the best Canola acres I seen were around Stoughton of all places. Good maturity. Good stand.

From Benson to Fort Qu'Appelle via White City... Ha ha took a little Detour by accident. Started getting really wet in the Qu'Appelle Region.

Qu'Appelle to Foam Lake Awful Awful Awful. Leross to Foam Lake MAYBE 10% seeded....Maybe. Things are awful from Leross to Elfross. Not the worst area but the dirties area.

Foam Lake to Humboldt...5% Seeded...I don't know if that is high but it sure ain't low. I went over 60 miles and counted 3 fields on the highway that were seeded. Wet wet wet. The stories you hear from these guys aren't over exaggerations.

Put in a ton of miles. Went thru the worst area I have ever seen (Leross to Humboldt) It is as bad as people say. My dad came along for the ride. He started the trip out by saying there can't be that many acres unseeded. Well folks there is. Lock up your bins. Don't let the crushers etc scare you into selling. Prices are going up. Oats will be up big. 12$ Canola. Don't be a fool and sell Yellow Peas for under 7$. Sit tight and take advantage of a bad situation.

[Jagfarms]

Went for a drive from Leader Sask up to Kindersely area over to Hanna and up to Stettler then to Bragg creek then down to Lethbridge. Have to drive home from Lethbridge tomoro yet. Seen pretty good crops all the way they might be 10 days late or so but overall they all looked pretty good with a little bit of flooding.

In our area the crops look like they have potential for a bumper crop still and they had the most flooding that I seen on the drive I just took. We lost 15 to 20 percent of seeded acres on our farm but if nothing drastic happens I think the yield in the rest of our crops will more than make up for our loss.

I really feal for you guys that did not get your crops seeded etc.

There is lots of crop other parts of Western Canada that are not doing so good or did not get seeded but there is some in other areas that is better than average for them.


The canola will be way down I think as there is lots of canola acres out of production my guess is 70 percent.


My guess for other crops is 85 percent of average providing there is not another monsoon over a giant area again or an early frost somewhere.


For the harvest of 2009 we were combining 4bu acre lentils and 10 bu acre peas ect and I found it hard to believe that any one else could have a good crop last year with all the doom and gloom we heard before harvest and it really suprised me some of the yields that were out there.

I don't think we can count anything out until it is harvested.