12 mill to high but 9 probably right on!

[agstar77]

Estimates are useless , if the this trend continues. More flooding losses , more losses to wet feet ie. saturated soil, harvest problems? This is an unprecedented event covering such a wide area so early in the season.

[newguy]

Seems to be alot more than usual canola and lentils . Yes we are not the big yield acres on the average but this is not an average year. Not sure how much the other crops will be down around here but think there is less peas..durum..wheat and flax..Will be interesting on crop insurance numbers.. South Sask,... 30% unseeded..

[fjlip]

Oats could be down big time. The wettest areas is where it is normally seeded last. Never got to last. Manitoba losing acres of oats also.

[AdamSmith]

Well here in SW MB, of the 21 quarters that I normally seed I got 15 seeded, the six un seeded were all going to be canola. "Normally" canola does go in first but this year those were my wettest fields this spring and I was leaving them to last so they would dry out better. Ha!

Bought a used 4710 sprayer and had my 19 year old son run it this spring. He got stuck 17 times, once on the top of a hill, sheesh! (wouldn't have been so many had I put on bigger tires but I was cheap and thought we would be fine with the ones that were on it)

Guys were flying on canola, will grow, but their gonna have to get a floater out there to fert it, which will make a mega mess, bin there done that and dealt with the effects for three years after.

The earliest seeded stuff looks good (what isn't drownd out) but the later seeded stuff is suffering.

[checking]

Whatever the lowest seeded number is, it still isn't low enough to solve the real problem.

[dave4441]

Checking-what do you mean?

[checking]

Hi Dave4441.

Sorry, didn't see your post. Old age causes eye failure. Also, just got back from cribbage tournament, and the trip was up hill both way. Lots of real women there though, for cp. (lol)

Okay, confusion reigns. I'm harping on the theme that farmers are masters at production, and appear to want to keep it that way. Yet, it gets proven time and again that a little bit of shortage from natural disasters somewhere in the world, as painful as that is to those it falls on, is what drives prices up to profitable levels.

This is only a fleeting benefit for those who escape it, and we are soon back into the doldrums of surpluses, low returns, and our hands out.