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Western Sask/Alberta Canola Crop

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    #25
    SF3. More acres were going in this year then last. That avg outs at least 1 million of your flooded acres right there. Take norhtern AB with black soil pushing 10 % organic matter, their crops will be 1/2 again to double last year. Take western SK and a good chunk of southern AB having bumper potential. Lastly canola always surprises on yield and this canola crop will NOT be as bad as people think. IMO.

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      #26
      Again I ask do you have a 75 Bushel crop if you do then yes I believe the crop will be same or better than last year but no fricking way will the crop be that high.

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        #27
        Also Vwalk their is way more than a million flooded man get your head out of the sand.

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          #28
          No but 55-65 isn't out of the question for a lot of it. Average that with what you will still get. Now I ask again what is the missing production compared to last year.

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            #29
            SF3, I don't think anybody mentioned over production. I just don't think it is as bad as you think it is in Western Canada as a whole.

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              #30
              Go Moosejaw to Regina to Brandon to Dauphin to Yorkton up to Canora over to melfort Pa down to humboldt back to moosejaw and then tell me its just a small area with damage. When crop is seeded like Alberta before the rain last year it has a chance but if the crop didn't get in ground then guess what it wont produce any thing. Its a huge age and I am surprised how many of you just cant get your heads around that. Phone Viagra ask how much canola seed is returned. Phone Bayer and Monsanto and ask how many fields of drowned out crop they have to adjust. Then take a drive and oh by the way the yellow fields are probably not canola lots are last years crop that's volunteer growing after the burn off.

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                #31
                The race horse crowd will probably be very interested in your oats, snappy. Hang on to them awhile. I haven't seen ONE oats crop growing this year. Pars

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                  #32
                  My guess SF3 is by the end of the summer you will be bitchin thats its too dry.

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                    #33
                    Vwalk just take the drive and then tell me what yousee.

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                      #34
                      This is ridiculous we know its really bad in some areas nd really good in others, just like last year. How much bigger is the bad area this year? Assuming an overall simallar avg yield.

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                        #35
                        There are some pretty nice crops in central alberta right now that are using up a hell of a lot of water every day and canola just starting to flower and bolt. If we get two weeks of hot and dry weather there will be some rain dancing going on.

                        Not everyone farms the heavy clay and the showers are picking winners already.

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                          #36
                          I'll throw a bone in amounst the dogs here - 28bus/ac ave on 13 mill harvested acres. JMO

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