Hm! Canola Yields OK in West Av In Central and Below in East!

[SASKFARMER3]

Hearing from our seed rep and from few crop adjusters and emails that the 2010 canola crop is so so. No Bin buster like last year. Yes their are the odd high yields but it seems the early results are not as nice as allot thought. 60s are not going to be a theme on allot of farms. The Av in west will have a good chance of getting in high 30s to 40s on most farms then as you go east it will drop. In East lots are seeing ps poor crops that thought they had an average a month ago. Yes still the odd huge one again odd huge one. Add in flooded and unseeded acreage and boom short supply. Yes carry in is up but farmers with no crop produced in 2010 need something to sell. (hint where most is sitting)

[silverback]

Can one of you smarter fellas then please tell us why canola is lagging and flattened out? The last couple of weeks when soy and everything else is climbing, canola just seems to hover.

[SASKFARMER3]

Its like oats and peas they seem to think that the crop got seeded. They also here big yields. Simply put you always know the big hitter in your area if you have 55 he has 65 if you have 30 he has 40. No one says fruck i grew 5. And 5 to 10 will be out there in east in Sask on fields. They also see that farmers have canola and peas in bin and think hm we don't have to do any thing these guys will have to sell some time. Again with low CWB prices guess what their right guys will have to sell.

[Klause]

This whole region (Parklands of Manitoba) last year produced about 600,000 tonnes of canola. This year maybe 100,000 tonnes if we are lucky. 70% of canola didn't get seeded. The BEST of what did go in the ground will do 30. Average will be 15.

Yes, there's a BTO bragging about 50bu canola and 65bu HRS... Nobody believes him for obvious reasons. LOL.

[dave4441]

So is the canola market wrong SK3? Maybe you should put your money where your mouth is, keep quiet and you will make millions.

[fjlip]

Is Sask Crop Ins ever going to release seeded acres? Anyone check?

[furrowtickler]

Anouther pont on canola - anyone who never sprayed for sclerotina is going to be dissapointed. The first test strips we did - around an 8 bus loss. That is for those who could have sprayed. Iwas very nervous spraying all that Lance but it looks like it paid big time so far. Canola production will not reach these latest numbers. The acres are just not there IMO.

[Jethro84]

SF3, I'm not trying to start a Board debate here, but your going after them for no reason. Take a PPO, lock in you basis and futures and you'll get paid out more than your american friends, the CWB is paying more in those programs than american buyers are paying.