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Stats Canada what a waste of time and paper!!

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    Stats Canada what a waste of time and paper!!

    OK here we go again something that was put together in March for may first delivery. Yea I was in Florida when they phoned and only really interested in Mickey Mouse. Oh I guess that's Stats Canada.
    Any way here is what were going to seed.
    19.2 million acres of canola in 2011, up 14.3% or 2.4 million acres from the previous record set in 2010 at 16.8 million acres.
    OK here is my thought Were pooched due to record moisture so if were 30% flooded and rest of province is 15% flooded then average a drop in total area by 15% = 16.3 million acres or same as last year. That's under no more rain scenario.
    Prairie durum wheat area could rise by 60.3% or 1.9 million acres to 5.1 million acres in 2011.
    Yea that's going to happen. But south is wet so yields could be a problem. if it stays wet.
    The area intended to be seeded to barley and oats are also expected to increase in 2011. At the national level, farmers anticipate seeding 7.8 million acres of barley, up 13.4% compared with the 6.9 million acres seeded in 2010. Similarly, acres seeded to oats could reach 4.1 million acres, an increase of 39.3% over 2010.
    This one has me puzzled I felt oats and barley would be way down. Oh I guess I was wrong. Oh well.

    #2
    March intentions of principal field crops areas
    2009 2010 Mar/11 2010 to
    thousands of acres % change
    Total wheat1 24,502 21,065 24,724 17.4
    Spring wheat 16,975 16,475 17,984 9.2
    Durum wheat 5,660 3,150 5,050 60.3
    Winter wheat2 1,867 1,439 1,690 17.4
    Canola 16,200 16,818 19,225 14.3
    Barley 8,663 6,911 7,833 13.4
    Summerfallow 6,230 11,610 5,080 -56.2
    Oats 3,732 2,913 4,056 39.3
    Soybeans 3,448 3,665 3,757 2.5
    Corn for grain 2,974 3,000 3,211 7.0
    Dry field peas 3,760 3,450 2,745 -20.4
    Flaxseed 1,710 925 1,210 30.8
    Peas are down 20% I think thats low acreage will be way lower.
    So will change my seeding plans maybe to half hrs. and remainder canola with small amount of peas barley and oats done.

    Comment


      #3
      Love these reports, Intention is a whole lot different than reality. Time will tell.

      Comment


        #4
        The nice thing aboout this report whether of not it is accurate or not. It really wasn't a commodity spoiler for any one crop. The numbers are beleivable and fairly nuetral, especially when seeding conditions the way they are. It looks like we should be reletivley safe price wise until June report.

        Comment


          #5
          If the southwest doesn't get their durum in prior to may 15 the durum market will take off. Oh sorry, the cwb is involved so the price will go down. Most are saying screw durum and moving to hrs since they can sign a fpc for 8.50. Not great but better than durum.

          Its too bad the cwb completely screwed the durum producers.

          Comment


            #6
            why is there 1.484 million more acres stated in the Mar 11 column vs. 2010

            stats table below;

            http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/110426/t110426a1-eng.htm

            game players!

            Comment


              #7
              When every Man and their Dog in the Country growin an 80 or Quarter of Oats, acres add up quick.......

              Comment

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