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Giving Farmers Choice Will Ease Grain Marketing Constraints

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    Giving Farmers Choice Will Ease Grain Marketing Constraints

    Last one for now! I'd appreciate hearing
    any feedback on this forum or directly:
    brenda@farmlinksolutions.ca

    *****

    Giving Farmers Choice Will Ease Grain Marketing Constraints

    When producers have marketing choice
    come August 1st, 2012, Prairie farmers
    will gain a freedom to time their sales
    of wheat, durum and malt barley in
    response to market signals, which will
    have a direct positive economic impact
    on net farm returns. In crop markets
    that are currently controlled by the
    Canadian Wheat Board (CWB), the ability
    to deliver and be paid for crops is
    dictated to producers, limiting the
    ability for farmers to time sales
    according to the results of market
    analysis.

    This is not to say that it’s possible or
    realistic to plan to sell at the highest
    price of the year. Rather, producers
    simply need the ability to sell for good
    business reasons: in order to lock in
    their target margin or return on
    investment (ROI), to manage perceived
    downside price risk in the market, or to
    capture the opportunity of a market that
    is making an interim high.

    The CWB system hems farmers in and
    prevents them from making marketing
    decisions for good business reasons via
    two key with non-market related
    constraints. First, the policy of
    smoothing delivery over the course of
    the year, and providing equal access to
    all producers, usually means that only
    20-30% of their crop can be moved off
    the farm at harvest time. The on-the-
    ground reality for many is that there
    isn’t enough bin space to store an
    entire crop past fall, so being forced
    to store the wheat forces them to sell
    other crops, whose prices may be likely
    to move higher later in the crop year.

    Generating cash flow in the fall is
    another common reason farmers end up
    forced to sell crops at inopportune
    times. Here again, the old CWB system
    imposes a constraint on farmers, by
    paying only a portion of the value of
    that 20-30% that producers are allowed
    to deliver in the fall. Typically, the
    initial payment is set at 60-65% of the
    crops’ expected value. Full payment
    isn’t made on Board grains until more
    than a year after the crop is harvested.

    It’s not uncommon for the CWB to allow
    only 60-80% of wheat to be delivered in
    the entire crop year. In these cases,
    farmers are forced to store and finance
    a portion of the harvest for over two
    years. These situations can be
    overwhelming for individual farm
    businesses to manage; the storage and
    interest costs involved dwarfs any
    value, proven or perceived that the
    single desk or the government guarantees
    could ever hope to generate.

    There are some relatively new CWB
    programs that loosen these restrictions
    marginally, but they don’t work very
    well to alleviate the storage and cash
    flow restrictions inherent in the system
    because the organization has never moved
    away from a strict policy of mandatory
    pooling. The Producer Payment Options,
    Guaranteed Delivery Contracts, CashPlus
    and other initiatives have only taken a
    very small step towards offering
    producers commercial grain marketing
    options.

    Allowing producers the full range of
    choices in marketing their crops next
    year will go a very long ways towards
    improving overall marketing performance
    and enabling individuals to make better
    business decisions.

    www.farmlinksolutions.ca

    #2
    Things sound like they will be so great in la la land.

    Comment


      #3
      katoe,

      The CWB is at a major disadvantage... the 'single desk' is a license for every grain buyer to bluff the price DOWN. The CWB has no real cost of sales... as the pool payments are set at 60-65 percent of a low-ball PRO.

      Any grain buyer with an ounce of skill can roll the CWB price down... with any 10 of the 1001 reasons why the CWB should sell for less.

      This is no fault of the people that the CWB employ. It is a simple fact of commerce.

      How else do you explain the 10-20 percent missing off CWB sales values?

      Comment


        #4
        btjadenlepp: I do hope that you realize that entire article on "Farmers Choice" is gobbledygook.

        My father and his father HAD "Farmers Choice" before the "POOLS" or the "CWB" were ever a reality. The result was chaotic and in many cases disastrous for farmers of their day. Low prices at harvest time, plugged elevators and inefficient and arbitrary treatment by the railroads caused considerable hardship as farmers had to pay their accumulated bills and provide for their families current needs.

        This marketing to achieve "return on investment" and take advantage of "market signals" is just jibberjabber like that sent out by government functionaries from their Agricultural departments to guide their "dumb farmer" clients.

        There is no magic formula in marketing but the farmer also knows that there are no "nice guys" out there in the real world and they (the farmers) are just "prey" whether they be buying or selling.

        The old CWB was very helpful despite its flaws. We will see soon what farming will be like without it...it may not be a good thing to be "thrown to the wolves".

        Comment


          #5
          "Helpful" in allowing guys like you to never have to make real decisions. "Helpful" in forcing us to store our grain at no cost to the buyers. "Helpful" in allowing the "Wolves" to make more profit on board grains than other grains.

          How many more helpful things??? I don't think there is enough time.

          Comment


            #6
            wilagro, if it's gobbledy gook to you then
            good luck keeping your farm alive. This
            jibber jabber is the stuff I built a
            business on 8 years ago that markets crops
            successfully for Prairie farmers. With 95%
            client retention every year since then,
            mightn't you want to consider that what
            we're doing might be working?

            www.farmlinksolutions.ca

            Comment


              #7
              Furthermore I challenge you to show me how
              the CWB system has improved rail service.
              If you think their performance is anything
              better than arbitrary these days, you must
              not have ever marketed special crops, nor
              be captive to CP lines.

              Comment

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