Allis, I think the organic market for Hard Red is already saturated, or the big bad organic buyers are not paying as much as they should. This may get worse, and the big bad organic buyers will use the loss of the CWB as the scapegoat to make a few more bucks. After all, it plays right into the message that it would happen. Many (not all) organic producers will be insulted and dejected at the loss of the CWB and will be thinking "I told you so" Others will be pleased to load shipping containers and rail cars to export markets anywhere in the world without a buyback penalty, or the chance of going to jail.
Some organic farmers are going to continue growing non board grains like peas, oats, lentils, flax etc. Other organic farmers will grow wheat like they always did because it is a financially viable crop for them.
If the European financial crisis really implodes, or the US goes into a double dip recession, I think organic producers are going to have a hard time because "nobody" will be able to "afford" to buy expensive organic grain.
I have a neighbor that is organic farming and really thinking of bailing out. The guy is 60yrs old and thinking very strongly to put his clover plowdown/black dirt into canola for the big score! He can then rent out to the big renters without the organic stigma attached. Its all about money for this guy.
Some organic farmers are going to continue growing non board grains like peas, oats, lentils, flax etc. Other organic farmers will grow wheat like they always did because it is a financially viable crop for them.
If the European financial crisis really implodes, or the US goes into a double dip recession, I think organic producers are going to have a hard time because "nobody" will be able to "afford" to buy expensive organic grain.
I have a neighbor that is organic farming and really thinking of bailing out. The guy is 60yrs old and thinking very strongly to put his clover plowdown/black dirt into canola for the big score! He can then rent out to the big renters without the organic stigma attached. Its all about money for this guy.
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