Will You Expand Canola Acres in 2012

[bigzee]

Theres talk of 20 plus million acres of canola going in the ground. Will this happen? With the possibility of 9 buk canola, not sure with the high inputs to grow it there will be alot of money to be made. Theres so much uncertainty in every commodity. Nothing really actually stands out to be a winner.

[freewheat]

I will be up, only due to rotation though. The wet years have raised hell with rotations in this country. Otherwise, hmmmm. I know what you mean. I am thinking canary, on a 1/4 or 2, maybe something exotic on 40 acres??? I dunno. Am giving HEAR one more kick at the can to get a good crop. Being signed up with Bunge is kind of like the cwb, though. but at least it is tangible and bankable.

I only had oats and canola last year, so high acid on oats, and other crops on the **** stubble. Had a bit of chem/summerfallow that will be regular canola.

I dunno! It is a tough call. some oats, canary, hrs, barley???? Fababeans, dry beans, or ???? on my real clean 40 acre piece???

I need as much help as you furrow!

[furrowtickler]

Why more this year than last? That's the question I have? Prices have drifted off and inputs up 20-30%. What is the incentive to grow more - why?? Peas look to be strong, an opertunity in wheat we havent seen in our life tims - good or bad yet to be seen.

[ajl]

Will be way down on Canola acres in 12 due
to rotation and being in a non traditional
area it is more risky.

[bigzee]

Im in a durum area but am uncertain as to what to expect as a return. It is a good question as to why acres would be up. Alot of chem fallow went into it last yr, and those acres have come down. I had 2800 ac last yr, and thinking maybe 480 this yr. I penciled all inputs for durum and canola, im making $23/ac more growing canola. Thats not alot considering all the risk.

[freewheat]

I'm sorry bigzee, I read you as being furrow. How cruel!

Furrow, I am putting more because i have a TPC with bunge for 14 a bushel, A of G clause. Otherwise, I sure wouldn't do it.

[Hopperbin]

I have to drop my canola acres by 30 percent otherwise I will be planting canola on canola stubble. And there is still money in other than canola. could change by spring. I calculate 61 dollars per acre difference in seed, chemical and fert costs from Wheat to Canola. Not taking into account extra chemical such as disease, or insect controle. I guess should still add midge chemical to the wheat. Had to spray rust last year.

[freewheat]

I also assume that some of the fortunate areas with big yields will have WICKED crop insurance coverage, if the good yields have rubbed into the formula yet.

That will help with risk. If you are looking at 400 bucks coverage, that alleviates some risk, and what other crops have 400 buck coverage?

I think crop insurance coverage alone, stands to keep acres higher.

Or maybe not?

[SASKFARMER3]

Were going to be down on Canola Acres
back to more 1/3 of my acreage. Talking
to seed companies etc. Canola is not
running off the shelves. So I think some
of these reports are pure BS.
Lots of unseeded last year will go into
HRS and some canola. Dry area will see
acreage drop and our area due to
rotation will see acreage drop. One guy
seeding Canola on Canola. I think its
his last year farming, Old trick around
here your last crop is canola. Oh shit I
guess were seeding 10000 acres or more.

[Burbert]

Greed, and greed and more greed, in the
Comedian grain markets'll transform inta
more and more Canolie than ever. Wit
clubrot on the horizon, I say getter while
the gettin is good. Corner to corner
Canolie. Cereals er in a state a flux, so
why waste yur time. After all Canolie is
Cinderella! Ain't it??????

[Ronski]

I will be down to 25% canola. Other crops are profitable this year so its a good time to straighten out my rotation. I've been up to 70% canola in the past so I do have a guilty conscience.

[furrowtickler]

No worries freewheat, I did my post before yours was even up.
My point is "who" is saying 20 mill acres, how and why did they come up with this number of 20 mil ac?
My thought is, show me how the *** it is possible? Givin the points i made and look at current soil moisture maps..? Somebody needs to show me how 20 mill is possible.. if so, legit and I will stand corrected. All this b/s did was drive down the canola market today... so WTF is going on realy?

[$short]

I hope to increase canola acres this year to a
more normal 25-30%. 2 years of wet wet wet
have not been fun.

With all the unseeded acres it's hard to get a
pulse back into rotation.

Canola still pencils out the best return.

[groundspeed]

Some say be carefull pushing canola rotation, if clubroot spreads across the praries it could devestate the canola industry. Dont want that.

[Daylate]

but a serious threat would be OK. LOL
I think their getting these acres on % of rotation assuming western canada's seeded acreage will be higher due to the fact that most of us will have more ground to run the drill over this year.
I think the trade is somewhere between 6 and 8 percent more in Wesern canada for total acreage.