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    Mortgages

    Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said he shares the
    concern of Canada's top banking regulator that
    lenders are loosening their mortgage standards too
    much, but said any problems in the system are being
    corrected.

    On Tuesday, Bloomberg released documents obtained
    through freedom of information requests that showed
    the Office of the Superintendent of Financial
    Institutions (OSFI) has some fears that loosening
    mortgage standards poses an "emerging risk" to
    Canada's economy.

    In the 152 pages of documents, internal
    communications reveal that OSFI — the regulator in
    charge of all federally monitored financial institutions
    in Canada — worries banks are becoming
    "increasingly liberal" by handing out loans without
    requiring borrowers to prove they have sufficient
    incomes to pay them back. Such loans "have some
    similarities to non-prime loans in the U.S. retail
    lending market," the OSFI documents reveal.

    Speaking to reporters in Tel Aviv, Israel, on Thursday,
    Flaherty echoed OSFI's concerns.

    "OSFI's concern arises out of some work that OSFI has
    done as part of the ordinary course of its business to
    look at some of the loans being made by financial
    institutions," he said. "I was informed of what their
    assessment showed with respect to a few financial
    institutions, which is a matter of concern."

    "That is being corrected," Flaherty said.

    CMHC insurance nears limit
    The reaction from the finance minister came at the
    end of a busy week in which multiple stories cast
    some doubt on the sustainability of Canada's
    booming housing market.

    On Tuesday, it emerged that the Canada Mortgage
    and Housing Corporation has committed to back
    $541 billion in mortgages — within striking distance
    of the agency's $600-billion limit.

    'That is being corrected.'
    —Finance Minister Jim Flaherty
    The CMHC is the Crown corporation that ultimately
    backstops Canada's housing industry by insuring
    mortgages. Buyers are legally obligated to pay for
    CMHC insurance if they put down 20 per cent or less
    of the purchase price as a down payment.
    Approximately 40 per cent of Canadian homes are
    covered by CMHC insurance.

    The limit was at $450 billion as recently as 2008, but
    Ottawa moved to raise it as a result of the financial
    crisis.

    As that gap closes, it gets harder for Canadians to get
    new mortgages. Theoretically, at a certain point
    CMHC would have to deny new borrowers unless
    Ottawa moved to raise the limit — something which
    would prove difficult in a political environment where
    policymakers have repeatedly encouraged Canadians
    to get their debt levels under control.

    Mortgage-backed securities
    Part of the reason the CMHC is running out of wiggle
    room is that in recent years, Canada's big banks have
    moved en masse to purchase CMHC insurance for
    their mortgages even where the borrowers have more
    than 20 per cent in equity.

    "CMHC has recently received an unexpected level of
    requests for large amounts of CMHC portfolio
    insurance," CMHC spokesman Charles Sauriol told
    CBC News this week. That's giving lenders "the ability
    to purchase insurance on pools of previously
    uninsured low ratio mortgages," he said.

    They're doing that so that they can take the
    mortgages on their balance sheets and sell them to
    other investors through a process known as
    securitization.

    The sale of such mortgage-backed securities was
    prevalent in the lead-up to America's housing crisis in
    2007, but it's a practice that has been rare in Canada
    to this point.

    Many experts have pointed to the securitization of
    mortgages — particularly subprime loans to
    borrowers who couldn't meet traditional standards —
    as a key catalyst in America's housing crash as the
    relationship between the lender and the home-
    owning borrower became increasingly blurred.

    OSFI's concerns stem from a fear that Canadians
    might be getting mortgages they won't be able to
    afford, if and when rates go up from their current
    lows. That, in turn, would hurt the greater economy
    and Ottawa's coffers as the taxpayers are ultimately
    responsible for funding any CMHC payouts for
    mortgages that default.

    "We monitor CMHC as part of the general monitoring
    of the financial scene in Canada," Flaherty said. "Right
    now they're still below their lending limit."


    -my bet is they raise the limit,if they don't the bubble
    pops now,

    #2
    Young couple just down the street bought a house
    675000 20 percent down they need a mortgage
    of 5400000 at 3.25 percent for 5?yrs for 25 years.
    They need 2625 per month plus taxes in Regina
    at 508 they need $3123. Then add power water
    gas and cable basically one works to pay all
    household and one works to pay car plus food
    plus living hm can you say Houston we have a
    problem.

    Comment


      #3
      It sounds like this couple should have bought a 250000.00 house instead. If their overextended, its their own fault. We all can't live like kings.

      Comment


        #4
        Look at the numbers.

        The market cap of td bank is 70 billion.

        The total mortgage market is about 1 trillion,with half
        covered by cdhc or the tax payers.

        The banks are levered 20 to 1.

        A 5% loss wipes out the banks.

        This is what is happening in europe,and soon the rest
        of the western world.

        Comment


          #5
          At the end of the day cotton is right - numbers don't lie.
          It is a matter of time.
          So how do we protect ourselves as farmers and what is the time line ?

          Comment


            #6
            From what i believe and hear from people i trust is
            that gold and cheap saskatchewan farmland are
            hands down the best asset classes to be in,so don't
            worry to much,your ahead of 99.999%.

            I am worried that the situation may be so bad that the
            type of inflation i see cannot materialize .

            Lots of worries about china,some numbers are
            bad,along with the baltic,we will see.

            Comment


              #7
              If everything goes in the shitter, what will happen?

              Comment


                #8
                I do not agree with the cheap Sask farmland theroy - we are not Iowa - never on earth will be. We always will fight mother nature on a level they never will, ever. Productive level and value of dirt long term should dictate land values not some *** a$$ed realtor(sp)...

                Comment


                  #9
                  Not sure what it will look like.

                  Living standards will come down,the baby boomers
                  are in for a surprise.

                  Nearly every single pension plan is now insolvent,for
                  the past decade they have had zero growth when they
                  where ASSuming 6-10%.

                  Harper is now talking about it.

                  We see and hear the word "austerity" in europe,but
                  what it really means and its domino effects are really
                  quite scary.

                  What does the populous do when its welfare state
                  runs out of money?

                  At least we get to see our future in europe before it
                  hits here.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    The spread between U.S. and Canadian
                    housing prices is likely to begin to
                    converge over the next 2 to 3 years.

                    This is a worrisome prospect to Cdn
                    banks. There are rumblings that our
                    banks may be fairly exposed to problems
                    should foreclosures accelerate.

                    We'll see how all this overextended
                    credit will play out and how deep the
                    Cdn recession risk will actually become.

                    Errol

                    Comment

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