Looming Market Risks

[cottonpicken]

Errol,my argument on deleveraging is that the central
banks and tax payers are taking on the bad debts in
an effort to recapitalize commercial banks.

[hobbyfrmr]

Agreed , I answered a question in the machinery
forum and it's posted over here. This is supposed
to happen April 1! It would be no surprise if I am
responsible for the error, ultimately, it's no big
deal to me. Stuff happens.

[cottonpicken]

People post in other forums?

[mcfarms]

Theres other forums?

[ColevilleH2S]

Who cares about other forums, I want a working edit button.

[errolanderson]

Cottonpicken . . . great comments. It is
genuinely scary times right now as
global financial markets are a deck of
cards. I can see your viewpoint that
deleveraging could trigger a global
depression.

My fear is that it will be unavoidable.
Hope this is dead wrong.

good discussion

Errol

[sumdumguy]

They dont ever need to raise interest rates if
governments can just print money because they
dont need to pay for capital. How convenient! I
wonder what would have happened in 2008 if the
opposit were the case. If interest rates were not
kept artificially low, farm land, houses, commodity
prices would be much different. I knpw guys who
are saying, borrow all the money you can, its
free. Live for today, tomorrow mwy never come.
Price is no object. I remember the 80's, this time
the government is letting the prices sky rocket.
What is going to burst the bubble cotton?

[cottonpicken]

Not to sure.

But i think it will be capital running away from
paper,which has already begun.

Wether a black swan event flips everything
overnight,or just a slow gradual inflationary
depression like japan that takes hold over the years,i
don't know.

[tipsy]

Tom, my thoughts were that regardless how he rules this issue is not over!!!

[tipsy]

And... does he not have a responsibility to give his ruling in a reasonable time fram?

[errolanderson]

If global markets are potentially headed
into an inflationary depression, that
would suggest higher interest rates lie
ahead. This could devastate some markets
ie: Cdn real estate bubble.

China has pledged to buy some European
debt overnight which is keeping the bull
alive today, but how long can this last
before economic reality sets in?

Huge economy concerns for U.S. ahead as
high unemployment is now structural.
Disagree that this is a post-recession
recovery (What a croc by American
politicians) Apparently 20% of U.S.
males between 25 to 54 years are not
working. Believe U.S. reported
employment figures are well-understated.

When these markets eventually break, we
may all have to have our market hardhats
on . . . .

Errol

[cottonpicken]

You might like watching this guy errol,a true pit bull.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fo6J3PQtcNw