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Canola down alot

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    #21
    Crusher,

    Even with one third crop share... average yeilds... this works!

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      #22
      B/S unless 1/3 of expenses are paid as well

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        #23
        I agree, that does not work with rented land.

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          #24
          You guys gotta remember Tom knows how to grow grain.
          Just barley left for us. Tom how are you guys getting along? Killam conditions like S.P.? What are you seeding with these days?

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            #25
            I've done the one third deal with my present tenant for over 20 years. Yes I pay 1/3 of fertilizer and spray. And I provide bin space.
            He farms it like he owns it and he makes all the decisions.
            We both think it works out pretty well...probably close to cash rent?

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              #26
              ASRG,

              You're probably doing alright, better than cash rent the last few years, if you've got some yield and average marketer.

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                #27
                Guys note . . . when commodity prices
                drop this sharply, there is typically a
                retracement bounce. For example, should
                Nov canola plunge toward $540/MT (next
                key support IMO) canola would have
                dropped about $40 - $45/MT.

                The retracement bounce can be between
                50% to 66% of the drop. In other words,
                a $20 to $25/MT rebound is possible,
                before the market runs out-of-fuel again
                (if there is no fresh bullish news
                entering the market).

                There is no guarantee of a retracement,
                but should it happen, this will
                hopefully allow growers another
                opportunity to reassess their canola
                pricing needs heading into fall on a
                market recovery.

                Errol

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                  #28
                  Canola up a bit...

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