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    Canada

    Next week your going to be hearing all about
    spain,and hopefully it doesn't become as annoying as
    hearing about the greece thing that keeps going on
    and on.

    So these numbers are a "what if" some of the
    problems came to haunt canada.

    A lot of this is from memory so maybe not 100%
    accurate.

    Start with housing and mortgages.

    When the bubble popped in the us median home
    prices where 265,000,we are currently at
    375,000,which is 42% higher...todays us marian home
    price is 195,000.(these are accruate numbers).

    Canadas morgage market is a little over a trillion with
    cmhc backstopping 600 billionish,

    So lets say we have a 10% decline thats 60 billion
    directly onto the tax payer and 50 billion on the
    banks balance sheets.

    Total market cap of the big banks is around 250
    billion.

    Average leverage ratio 25 to 1.

    Otc derivative exposure (estimate)-18 trillion

    Canadian federal budget 278 billion

    Canadian federal deficit 29 billion

    Canadian federal debt 586 billion

    #2
    Housing prices should crash...they are way out of whack and overvalued.

    Maybe smarten people up to what is real and what is a dream world.

    Comment


      #3
      This is a a few hours after my post,i don't post n this site.

      http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-mark-carney-kicks-can

      Comment


        #4
        I read about spain this morning, Looks
        like the shit will hit the fan their next
        week.
        IF Canada has a housing slip were all
        f&%$ed.

        Comment


          #5
          SF3 . . . it's already begun. data has to
          catch up.

          foreclosures unfortunately may be another
          boom in our real estate market especially
          if $80 oil finds a permanent residence.

          Comment


            #6
            I'm still waiting for 18% interest rates like back in the '80's my dad told me about. But I don't think any conservative/socialistic/communistic government would ever allow that to happen.

            Wow, that would separate the men from the boys in a hurry.

            Comment

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