Government people and others that
believe you can reduce a corn crop by at
least one third and then produce a big
soy crop because of a couple of little
showers are delusional. The corn growing
areas are 9 to 10 inches short on soil
moisture which means next year they will
need a year like our 2010/2011 to grow a
trend yield corn crop.
In Canada the canola crop is smaller
than last year. When the final numbers
come out in a couple of years, this
years canola crop will be 14.5 mmt. Sure
record acreage but 20 percent drown out
and 20 percent loss to disease on what's
left. Doesn't seem like much in July
when the crop is flowering but when the
swathers roll, the light stands and
fluffy swaths will tell the story. I
have seen irrigated canola seeded on may
10 sprayed with bug spray and twice for
disease being swathed on August 6 and
the field across the road is still
green.
Reports on this forum are consistently
the same and that covers a large area of
western Canada. Realistically the crop
in western Canada isn't bigger than
years in any crop. Harvest reports on
the peas are well off expected but you
can't have 20 potholes on a quarter show
up after seeding corner to corner and
think its going to be a bumper. Well
maybe the office people can.
I lowered my expectations long ago, it
keeps me pleasantly surprised but after
doing some preharvest spraying its still
not pretty.
believe you can reduce a corn crop by at
least one third and then produce a big
soy crop because of a couple of little
showers are delusional. The corn growing
areas are 9 to 10 inches short on soil
moisture which means next year they will
need a year like our 2010/2011 to grow a
trend yield corn crop.
In Canada the canola crop is smaller
than last year. When the final numbers
come out in a couple of years, this
years canola crop will be 14.5 mmt. Sure
record acreage but 20 percent drown out
and 20 percent loss to disease on what's
left. Doesn't seem like much in July
when the crop is flowering but when the
swathers roll, the light stands and
fluffy swaths will tell the story. I
have seen irrigated canola seeded on may
10 sprayed with bug spray and twice for
disease being swathed on August 6 and
the field across the road is still
green.
Reports on this forum are consistently
the same and that covers a large area of
western Canada. Realistically the crop
in western Canada isn't bigger than
years in any crop. Harvest reports on
the peas are well off expected but you
can't have 20 potholes on a quarter show
up after seeding corner to corner and
think its going to be a bumper. Well
maybe the office people can.
I lowered my expectations long ago, it
keeps me pleasantly surprised but after
doing some preharvest spraying its still
not pretty.
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