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Canola market today?

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    #16
    Wd emotional, Dah, the stats Canada number for
    canola after the wind etc will be 13.84 that's it and
    no it's not emotional it's fact.

    Comment


      #17
      Sf3, all the small farmers around here are done
      and warming up their mobiles that are pointed
      toward Phoenix. Management gets exponentially
      tougher the more acres you take on. You only
      need what you can manage. Sorry, but there are
      a few spinning their wheels right into bankruptcy.

      Soon they will be statistics. My sister in law says,
      you cant smell every fart.

      Comment


        #18
        Thank God you cannot smell every fart because there must be alot of constipated bankers after last night. lol

        Comment


          #19
          Sumdumguy not one of my neighbours are
          completed. So give it a rest their on
          their way to phoenix. Thats a crock and
          you know it.
          Its not acreage since we all end at
          around the same time.
          Look at whats out their and see, I have
          said since summer its a 14.6 well after
          the fricking wind event im now for the
          first time moving lower and guess what
          13.8 is what it will shake out at. Sell
          if you want because the experts kept
          saying farmers are pushing the limits
          and can get us back on the plus side
          with lots of room for over production
          and their fore lower prices. Well guess
          what mother nature screwed up those
          plans all over the globe.
          So sell, Ill be playing the markets on
          paper this winter. And no were not going
          bankrupt.

          Comment


            #20
            Sorry for being the numbers guy.

            A 13.5 MMT canola is a 30 bushel yield on 20 million
            harvested acres (about - done some rounding).

            Domestic crush - 7 to 7.5 MMT.

            Core exports - 4 to 4.5 MMT. Japan 2.3 MMT.
            Mexico and US - 2 MMT ish.

            China and others can scrap over 3 MMT. Down 1
            MMT from last crop year.

            Even with your number, things are necessarily all that
            tight. Production may actually be lower and still not
            have that big a market impact outside of the bigger
            picture oilseed rally. Broken record but how much
            has been sold off the west coast and farmers williness
            to deliver will be far bigger issues this fall.

            Comment


              #21
              Can't do math this early. China and others can scrap
              over 2 MMT. Down 2 MMT from last year.

              Comment


                #22
                If we can get a couple of closes above $647, I'll be locking the bins.

                Comment


                  #23
                  Today is a big day with a fed announcement.

                  If he blurts out open ended qe we are going very
                  much higher very quickly,but i don't think its in the
                  cards today,i still see very short term weakness.

                  Comment


                    #24
                    yes . . . Big Ben will be the talk this
                    aft. Very much doubt there will be any
                    open-ended QE. Market may be likely to see
                    any version of QE because of risks.

                    We'll all know soon.

                    Comment


                      #25
                      QE3 announced , so now what???

                      Comment


                        #26
                        I thought i had to wait for christmas for christmas to
                        come,lol,GREAT GREAT GREAT DAY!!!!

                        Comment


                          #27
                          And in many households tonight,many worried men
                          scratch their heads wondering why their university
                          econ classes have failed them,i always new miss olfert
                          was full of shit,**** you you red haired stupid bitch
                          who bankrupted countless people.

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