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Jansen is a go

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    Jansen is a go

    BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP, Stock Forum) will invest
    US$2.6 billion in the Jansen potash project in
    Saskatchewan, but will develop it at a slower pace
    than previously expected and with the possible
    addition of a partner.

    The Anglo-Australian mining company's investment
    in Jansen will be spread over a number of years with
    completion of two mining shafts expected during
    2016.

    “We'll direct capital even more selectively towards our
    major basins, while continuing with measured
    investment at Jansen to de-risk the project and
    maintain the flexibility to enter the potash market
    only when the time is right,” BHP Billiton CEO Andrew
    Mackenzie said in a call with analysts.

    Mackenzie said he was confident in the value of
    developing Jansen, a project he believes will achieve
    low costs of production, especially with the slower
    timeline

    “Everything we're doing, by giving ourselves more
    time, by using our productivity agenda to drive down
    capital costs and drive down operating costs, means
    we're only going to improve from where we are
    today,” Mackenzie said.

    Under his predecessor, BHP Billiton attempted in
    2010 to buy Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan
    (TSX:T.POT, Stock Forum) - Canada's largest producer
    - but was blocked by the federal government under
    pressure from Saskatchewan Premier Brad Wall.

    Among other things, BHP's detractors warned that the
    Jansen project would be sidelined if it could be
    supplied through PotashCorp's extensive operations
    in the province. BHP consistently said there would be
    enough demand for Jansen too.

    Tuesday's capital investment announcement will take
    BHP's total commitment to the site, 140 kilometres
    from Saskatoon, to approximately US$3.8 billion.

    The plans include completing the excavation and
    lining of the production and service shafts, as well as
    the installation of essential surface infrastructure and
    utilities.

    BHP also signalled it would look for partners as the
    project moves forward, saying it may “sell a minority
    stake to one or more joint venture partners,” which is
    consistent with its approach at many of its other
    major operations.

    “For now, we're looking at a relatively straightforward
    arrangement with potential partners who would come
    and take a minority share of Jansen and be very much
    a partner, like we have in our petroleum ventures,”
    Mackenzie said.

    The company calls Jansen, a project that is 100 per
    cent owned by BHP Billiton, the world's best
    undeveloped potash resource and expects it to
    produce 10 million tonnes of potash a year for more
    than 50 years.

    Mackenzie also said he was confident about market
    demand, projecting an expected growth of two to
    three per cent per annum to 2030, driven by
    increasing global population and greater economic
    prosperity, which will lead to changing patterns of
    food consumption and increased agricultural
    demand.

    “We have a long-stated preference for transparent
    pricing mechanisms that truly reflect the supply and
    demand -- the fundamentals of any given commodity
    on any given day,” he said.

    “In the case of potash, our projections have always
    assumed a shift away from the current marketing
    dynamic.”

    His comments came after Russian firm Uralkali's split
    from Belarusian Potash Company last month, exiting
    a potash cartel that helps determine prices and
    creating fears that the move could lead to a 25 per
    cent drop in the price of potash.

    The decision sparked a major selloff in the stocks of
    potash producers, but the CEO of Potash Corp. played
    down concerns at the time, saying such spats have
    happened before and are usually resolved.

    The project is also going ahead despite weak
    commodity prices, which impacted the company's
    profits.

    BHP Billiton also reported Tuesday that its annual
    profit fell nearly 30 per cent on lower prices for
    copper, coal and iron ore. Earnings amounted to
    $10.9 billion for the year ended June 30, and were
    also dented by one-time charges of $922 million.

    BHP said record production was offset by lower
    commodity prices amid slowing global economic
    growth.

    BHP has exploration rights to more than 14,500
    square kilometres in the Saskatchewan potash basin,
    but Jansen is its most advanced project.

    Analyst Maxim Sytchev of Dundee Capital Markets
    said the announcement was also a positive one for
    SNC-Lavalin (TSX:T.SNC, Stock Forum), a Montreal-
    based engineering and construction company that
    has contracts with BHP for work at potash projects to
    be developed and built mainly in Saskatchewan.

    Read more at
    http://www.stockhouse.com/news/business-
    news/2013/08/20/bhp-locls-in-$2-6b-investment-
    in-saskatchewan-pota#bwJXSQIJ9XLMghHk.99
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