Canola is their a great crop out their somewhere!

[sk_wheatking]

Don't worry sask3 I don't think that the q appelle lake system is the only thing that's full of shit.

[ajl]

Here in south central AB the canola does look good but with no moisture in the forecast it is running out of gas. Flower blast is starting to show on the hilltops. That brings 50 bu canola down to 30 quickly so good thing there is carry out or the market will be short next spring.

[sk_wheatking]

Don't worry sask3 I don't think that the q appelle lake system is the only thing that's full of shit.

[newguy]

South sask acres down 10% yield down so far 10% from last year. If we get a stretch of hot wind that 10% yield loss could go to 30 or 50% in a hurry. But at the best will be at least 20% less canola in the bins around here this fall.

[blackpowder]

Yah, to keep it short. %20 less here this year too.

"Hurry boys, the basis is narrow and futures inverted." "Lock your fall delivery NOW"

[charliep]

My experience is the market doesn't care what experts think. The market is about commercial activity - actual trades/sales. What would you have the market do differently? What supply demand for 2014/15? What price? Actually working on a forecast this week so you can influence outcome.

[SASKFARMER3]

Ok Charlie what if the crop is as bad as I say! Were already two to three below soy! Over supply was the word last fall! Now the market works at getting the crop in the bin for a steep discount. Here is my question why all over the world countries tell how their crop is yet in canada it's let's study oh don't worry flooded acres could come back oh it was just a minor frost or it's only one rain away from a bumper! Dah maybe we need some crop reporting that's actually crop reporting not just tell the world were doing all right! Market is not getting the real story that's the info That's needed! Not feel good attitude!

[Braveheart]

Sk3, the market knows what's going on. There are several sources. Here in MB, what used to be called Ag Reps are paid spies. Always have been. Local grain cos are constantly updating head office on the size and condition of area crops. Grain cos care little at what level futures are at as they trade the basis. Also, the CWB has always had and continues to have an excellent surveillance system.

What's happened here on the prairies will eventually find it's way. Whether or not it brings more buyers and fewer sellers will depend on a lot more factors than just prairie crops.

[Partners]

We have no where near the rain that most have, and our 7444 still looks poor..Small leaves, short for this time of the yr.. 34", been flowering since July 1st...Last yr. at this time the canola was 46" tall..Later seeded stuff looks better, but is a week away from bolting..

[fjlip]

From Moose Jaw to Watson, 70% of canola crops are shit, 20 max. Unbelievable amount of LATE crops. Yellow or drowned out 30% of acres. Water everywhere, Quill Lake way past #6, saw a yard bermed water all around. That's a huge area. Sprayers on blooming weeds in crops. Some wheat and oats are good but missing 10-20% due to water. Harvest nightmare unless this rain quits now! Sad to see all that land look like crap. A zero year, waste of resources for so many.

[bucket]

Every day I look at my crop I struggle to justify putting more money into them other than a preharvest shot of round up.

JUst cut my losses and get ready for next year.

[farmaholic]

Fjlip. In years like this the affected should at least hope for their expenses back, so they can do it all again next year. Capital preservation.......