How much grain will you have left Aug ?

[SASKFARMER3]

We'll some won't say but all year I said the totals used last year were bullshit. Their wasn't the crop that most said happened. Don't get me wrong it was huge but not as big as the story got.
Also throw in flooding of grain bags and bins and piles. Actually can't believe how many piles I've come across this summer that were definitely last years crop that rotted.
Also the grain bags are really disappearing.
Ok here goes for us.
Peas 1000 bushels which is 2015 seed.
Barley all priced only one super B to be picked up.
Oats yes a bag that is priced and goes in early august.
Hrs all should be in by aug 5.
Canola will be all gone by Friday.
So basically we will be down to empty bins by mid august.
Hm moved it all even I if the hrs was 6 months late. Last year showed that contracts by grain companies are good for one partner them.

[farmaholic]

ZERO!!! Sold last canola today for Yorkton delivery in the next few weeks(wish I lived closer to Yorkton). HRS wheat all basically gone(with in the last three weeks). Durum gone(all in the beginning of June). Specialty crops gone a while ago.

[PrairieDude]

Agree with sf3. Crop not as large as stated. All farms had good chance to move all production.

[Wheatking]

2,000 of malt which I am carrying over so I can ensure I have enough to fill my contracts without AOG. 10,000 of canola. I feel like a idiot now for not selling it off the combine, I knew there was a monster crop coming and didn't act accordingly.

I have a feeling that this years crop is going to be much better then what people were predicting two weeks ago. I change my prediction from avg to slightly above for western canada.

[JDGreen]

Carrying 35% of the durum and 90% of the yellow peas.. Sold out of red lentils a month ago, all canola sold off the combine.. Am carrying by choice. Viterra would have gladly stolen the last 75,000 bushels as well.. There was never a problem with could it or wod it all be moved. 100% bullshit..

[Klause]

Just drove from Humboldt to winnipeg... I'll put eastern prairie canola at 26 bpa. Wheat 48. Soybeans 35.

No frost till sept 25th.

Canola in red river valley still flowering! Some started recently... they should be swathing in 10 -14 days.

[Jester]

I don't sell grain, I sell paper and market grain when companies need product. Bins are nearly half full but it is already the most profitable year I have had. I think too many are hung up doing things the way their grand dad did it. Most will be gone by harvest which in my parts won't be much. However that production and more has been sold and bought and sold a few times on paper. I just don't get why most are so hung up on the little things. Been doing this a number of years and have been relatively successful at it. Think outside the box.

[SASKFARMER3]

Jester its about BS over stating of a great crop that then like Pinocchio the lie just kept getting bigger and bigger. Then the Grain companies and Railways figured out how to take most for pennies.
Its just a simple exercise to show that their wasn't as large of a crop as stated and that again farmers were screwed by BS yes some of their own doing by bragging about how large a crop it was. Cant be the guy growing 40 when every one else is at 60.
But if most are out of grain and its August 1st the railways caught up the grain companies didn't need insane basis levels and farmers shouldn't of excepted the BS.

[Hopalong]

Still lots of bitching about the grain companies and basis levels.
Wonder what we expect them to do differently.
Some say we can look at ourselves to do things differently.
Agree.

[SASKFARMER3]

Hoppy its about BS info that they were using and yes rightly added huge Basis to slow delivery but when the railway ****ed up and caused back ups you have to pay the bills some where and the Ponzi scheme was set in motion. Its called Hook line and Sinker.
The perfect storm.
What ever you want to call it.
World price was way higher and guess what only one group made out like bandits.
Canola and HRS were trading way way below the world price in Canada on a BS dream that we produced this Mega crop. Yes it was big but not as big as the BS was stating.

[Braveheart]

Zero gain inventory left on our farm.

[Hopalong]

Agree that lack of RR capacity and willingness to move grain was biggest factor in high basis cost to growers.
Disagree that increased government regulation of grower-elevator contracts will be an answer.

[groundspeed]

Bins cleaned out with the exception of a little i kept for seed just in case jack shows up, god forbid.

[highwayman]

100% of durum still in the bins and glad we hung on. Some of it was committed to producer cars that are way behind in delivery. Mainly #2-3 grade wise and wasn't willing to give it away. Price has picked up substantially. Great western rail has 2200 outstanding orders for cars and has been getting the shaft from CPR and CN. Canola slated for rail cars is now just being trucked out at the buyers expense. Was supposed to be gone in May/June. Lentils gone and Chickpeas still in the bin. Lots of bags still on the ground in our area. Short line rails have been bent over this year by the big boys.

[blackpowder]

By mid August all gone except a little seed I won't sell for $5.
The question being asked is.
Would the basis have jumped to where it did had no one panicked, and everyone planned ahead?