40 sounds right for all west of saskatoon as a min. Should be higher. Peas all nuts also. 8 dollar greens here thnking to take on some of it. Looks like a glut coming in canada but world supply and demand can be interesting for greens if they need them to replace something else that is short. Bagged greens or lentil will get movement in my opinion if the railroads decide again to move alberta crop first. How to get movement or price is a big million dollar question for different crops as they are grown in different zones.
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I farm south of Yorkton. Based solely on my own farm I would predict
HRS 50 bpa.
CPS Wheat 65 BPA
General Purpose (Pasteur and Plentiful) 70-75 BPA. Cereals look quite good. Similar to last year with 10% or so of acres flooded out.
Oats 100
Peas 50 (fortunate the peas are on good, high well drained land)
Canola 20-25. Canola is a disaster. No need for further commentary. This might be high.
Soybeans 25-30. Becoming more a fan of beans all the time. Had a 15 acre piece by the house and had a little seed left in the drill. About 8 acres of the piece ended up totally under water. I don't mean water logged I mean you needed a snorkel to check the crop. Almost half of those beans survived. Very impressed.
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I farm south of Yorkton. Based solely on my own farm I would predict
HRS 50 bpa.
CPS Wheat 65 BPA
General Purpose (Pasteur and Plentiful) 70-75 BPA. Cereals look quite good. Similar to last year with 10% or so of acres flooded out.
Oats 100
Peas 50 (fortunate the peas are on good, high well drained land)
Canola 20-25. Canola is a disaster. No need for further commentary. This might be high.
Soybeans 25-30. Becoming more a fan of beans all the time. Had a 15 acre piece by the house and had a little seed left in the drill. About 8 acres of the piece ended up totally under water. I don't mean water logged I mean you needed a snorkel to check the crop. Almost half of those beans survived. Very impressed.
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I can't get over how good peas look on west side of province. Lentils and peas both have changed radically as long as frost free to end of Aug. West side only i am talking about. Lots of 50 bu pea potential i think. Some 30 bu canary potential. As i grew no durum i can only kick myself in the ass as it looks pretty good compared with how it started out in dry powder.
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Dave good points, this year I wish we would have got back into durum. Think would have the right cocktails to get a decent crop again. If west has 50 bus pea and east most zero to 25 that leaves a average of 30 or less the pea total yield will be lower! Lentils in our area are shit. Also. Canola will be the one crop the experts will be shocked how low can we go.
Soy like the other guy said sat under water and after the water left still have rows. Canola it's dead for a 100 ft around the slough.
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Did not think peas was as good as last year until the wife hauled in twice the peas in garden as last year. Garden was not watered and seeded about same time. Peas filled right up with no disease this year. My clearfield canola took off with huge leaves and big stocks. With a bit of a premium in price could work out. The 46H75 hope it yields like it looks. Seeded 50% of my land to durum. Looks above average. Frost needs to stay away from it though as some seeded end of May. The thing that is better this year is less midge and diseases. What is worse than last year is a later crop and risk of frost.. Bins cleaned out from last years crop.
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Dave
A hot week now and peas in Alberta will be combining by Aug 20 easy.
Most pods full now.
A couple of 30 c days and fields will be turning yellow in a week.
With all this water the crop sill finish fast with the heat forecasted.
All the best
As normal input will determine yield potential.
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Tom You are really nuts aren't you!
Input will determine yield.
What are you smoking.
Canola 120 lbs N total N
Phos 50
Sulf 20
Soil test below that needed.
Canola L261
Burn off
Liberty
Liberty
Fungicide
Harvest
Oh throw in the flood of the century.
Yield 25
Yea input will determine yield
Yea you better run for politics you have it all figured out.
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