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Western Canada Yields.

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    #13
    I farm south of Yorkton. Based solely on my own farm I would predict

    HRS 50 bpa.
    CPS Wheat 65 BPA
    General Purpose (Pasteur and Plentiful) 70-75 BPA. Cereals look quite good. Similar to last year with 10% or so of acres flooded out.

    Oats 100
    Peas 50 (fortunate the peas are on good, high well drained land)
    Canola 20-25. Canola is a disaster. No need for further commentary. This might be high.
    Soybeans 25-30. Becoming more a fan of beans all the time. Had a 15 acre piece by the house and had a little seed left in the drill. About 8 acres of the piece ended up totally under water. I don't mean water logged I mean you needed a snorkel to check the crop. Almost half of those beans survived. Very impressed.

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      #14
      I can't get over how good peas look on west side of province. Lentils and peas both have changed radically as long as frost free to end of Aug. West side only i am talking about. Lots of 50 bu pea potential i think. Some 30 bu canary potential. As i grew no durum i can only kick myself in the ass as it looks pretty good compared with how it started out in dry powder.

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        #15
        Dave good points, this year I wish we would have got back into durum. Think would have the right cocktails to get a decent crop again. If west has 50 bus pea and east most zero to 25 that leaves a average of 30 or less the pea total yield will be lower! Lentils in our area are shit. Also. Canola will be the one crop the experts will be shocked how low can we go.
        Soy like the other guy said sat under water and after the water left still have rows. Canola it's dead for a 100 ft around the slough.

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          #16
          Someone has Just had the first wet dream.
          2013 seedmaster txb-m90air head drill. 12 inch sp. 550 bushel cart. Cart is jhon deer. Advertzedfor 369 thousand

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            #17
            Did not think peas was as good as last year until the wife hauled in twice the peas in garden as last year. Garden was not watered and seeded about same time. Peas filled right up with no disease this year. My clearfield canola took off with huge leaves and big stocks. With a bit of a premium in price could work out. The 46H75 hope it yields like it looks. Seeded 50% of my land to durum. Looks above average. Frost needs to stay away from it though as some seeded end of May. The thing that is better this year is less midge and diseases. What is worse than last year is a later crop and risk of frost.. Bins cleaned out from last years crop.

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              #18
              Dave
              A hot week now and peas in Alberta will be combining by Aug 20 easy.
              Most pods full now.

              A couple of 30 c days and fields will be turning yellow in a week.

              With all this water the crop sill finish fast with the heat forecasted.

              All the best

              As normal input will determine yield potential.

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                #19
                If only that's what limits yields in the east.

                Shouldn't have non flowering cabbaged canola in Elie Manitoba... at the end of July.

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                  #20
                  Tom You are really nuts aren't you!
                  Input will determine yield.


                  What are you smoking.

                  Canola 120 lbs N total N
                  Phos 50
                  Sulf 20
                  Soil test below that needed.

                  Canola L261
                  Burn off
                  Liberty
                  Liberty
                  Fungicide
                  Harvest

                  Oh throw in the flood of the century.

                  Yield 25

                  Yea input will determine yield

                  Yea you better run for politics you have it all figured out.

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                    #21
                    Tom 90% of yield potential is determined by weather conditions and the quality of the land that the crop is grown on. The last 10% by tweaking that the farmer does. The worst problem with those who were lucky and got the big crop the last couple of years is that they think that they themselves are responsible for the good results.

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                      #22
                      You guys should read what he has written.

                      He is talking about amount of rain.

                      Then says "as normal, input creates yield". Input of rainfall. Rainfall is a input and of course the most important one. Gdd or corn heat units probably #2.

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                        #23
                        I am with SK farmer. Inputs and timing of farmer has allot to do with yields these days. Of coarse mother nature has the last say but the farmer has the first say.Marketing the crop is also a big factor in a successful crop these days too. I may say 40% inputs 40% weather 20% marketing.

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                          #24
                          Maybe a better way to explain is every farmer sets the height of his bar and mother mature then lowers it differantly each year.

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