Late canola not going to have a good week!

[SASKFARMER3]

Just got the seven day forecast.82 for the next week with no chance of rain. All the late canola in eastern sask and Manitoba is going to have a rough week.
Maybe the roots have been going deeper since the floods of June and will get us through this but definitely this event will take some yield.
Any time flowering over 82 you get flower blast.
Funny 2014 seems like we're 2 weeks behind normal on everything. We're getting mid July weather now.
The early canola will be filling in the west which could create smaller lighter seeds than last year. Dropping the yield that way also. Time will tell but I think the canola number is going down down down.
Have a great day, the beans are loving this weather.

[TOM4CWB]

SF3,

Perfect week out here for maturing crops.

Some folks with early peas are starting to desiccate (earlier than I would have)

Wheat filling nice and turning on early crops Winter Wheat could be desiccated now... podded Canola getting much lighter green on early fields. The upcoming week will bring them along very nicely. Only late seeded (after June 1) are still solid yellow.. which are few and far between now.

Cheers!

[T.N.T.]

Well if there is a bright spot to long weekends and not being able to get parts until tuesday.Your weather forecast was it sk3,turn the heat up and turn the tap off,we got more then enough moisture to finish off this crop anyways,hopefully get done haying this week and move on to the early greenfeed.

[TOM4CWB]

Cash Talk: Prairie Crop Yield Potential Looks "Reasonably
Solid": CWB

By Dave Sims, Commodity News Service Canada

Saskatoon, August 1 - CWB offered some estimates for crop
yields after a three-day tour of Prairie farmland wrapped up
in Regina Thursday afternoon, noting that yield potential was
looking fairly good.
"In terms of the yields this year, the crop looks
reasonably solid in terms of yield potential. We do have a
chance at producing a relatively high-quality crop this year,"
Bruce Burnett of CWB Market Research Services said.
This week, three groups of CWB officials and other
participants travelled through key growing regions in Alberta,
Saskatchewan and Manitoba.
Heavy precipitation, primarily in southwest Manitoba and
southeast Saskatchewan made variability and advancement of
most crops more diverse than last year, Burnett said.
The overall estimated yield for spring wheat was listed
at 43.1 bushels per acre. Spring wheat yields in western
Saskatchewan were believed to be five to seven bushels higher
than the southeast. Development on the eastern side of
Saskatchewan and Manitoba was gauged to be 10 to 14 days
behind normal. Alberta looked to be on schedule while western
Saskatchewan was a week behind.
Durum is delayed and could use a timely rain to reach its
full potential, according to Burnett. CWB pegged the crop at
48.1 bushels an acre, down slightly from last year. Producers
told participants that hot, dry weather is on their wish list.
Burnett added a week or two of temperatures in the 25 to 35
degree Celsius range could be beneficial.
Canola was hard to gauge as much of the crop was either
in full bloom or just coming off. Overall yields were pegged
at 34.3 bushels per acre.
There was a higher abandonment of winter wheat this year.
The fields that have survived have some issues with disease in
the eastern side of the prairies. Some of it was already
turning color, said CWB officials.
Peas were heavily impacted by the water in the east, said
Burnett. In west central Saskatchewan and eastern Alberta,
more peas were planted this year than last year. Crops there
are looking good, albeit slightly delayed. But, Burnett said
there didn't seem to be much frost risk. The main concern from
local producers was that the pea harvest could coincide with
the harvest for other crops.
Some tour participants said they didn't think the crops
in southwest Manitoba and eastern Saskatchewan would look as
good as they did.
However, one observer noted that development of plants in
western Saskatchewan and Alberta was much more robust at the
bottom of the plant, while water damage reduced stem
development to near zero in some fields in southeast
Saskatchewan and southwest Manitoba.
CWB internal research data suggested three and a half to
four million acres of crops in southwestern Manitoba and
southeast Saskatchewan were either not planted or flooded out
due to excess precipitation.
END

[SASKFARMER3]

Rather simple canola and warm weather is great if you have a extra two inches of water to help get through this week. Yes I said rain. Canola and hot days on a late crop with no rain will have issues by next Saturday. Yield will drop.
Those who have finished podding and missed the rain and are now filling will have smaller seeds. To hot and remember pepper canola.
Some newbys never seen that lots of pods with light shit inside.
Just stating what happens, not saying it will but in the past it's happened with a weather scenario like we have this year. Time will tell, those lucky to get some rain before the coming week you will keep flowering and fill nice.
Have a great day it's not finished till it's in the bin.

[saskisodbuster]

It will be fine. Just wait and see. Without this heat I hardly call 28 (82) heat anyways we would be in all kinds of trouble. Can't change the weather anyways so enjoy it and keep the beer cold and plentiful.

[Partners]

Kind of a trade off..some of the crops are so late they need heat and drought, or they might be zero's...

[TOM4CWB]

SF3

The new genetics in Canola we grow take warm days bettd. Production in ND SD MN are good examples. Canola is much better than 20 years ago.

[freewheat]

2002. Went to BC for three weeks, came back the canola was done blooming in two weeks, the lawn was crispy. It had been over 30 the entire time we were gone. I thought for sure my canola would be fried. It went 51.

It takes high heat, like mid thirties, ALONG WITH no moisture to have large effect. We had subsoil that year out of our wahoo, and it did fine.

Now, this years late stuff around here cabbaged, which is a great sign that the rooting was properly established. For that reason, I am not too concerned about heat in this specific area at least. Heat shortens the bloom time requirements. The flowers shed pollen and are fertilized faster with heat, up to a point at least.

But I come from an area that has never seen this infamous "flower blast" I hear about. So maybe my experience is not accurate to other areas???

[agchat]

saskisodbuster i agree with you, 82F is not hot. I remember several, and I mean several july summers in mid seventies till mid eighties pitching bales with a week straight of 92-96 F. I guess when you had to make ass gravy them days, you never forgot it. What will happen to Canola if those *Good Ol Days* return? A lot on here do probably not even no what Fahrenheit is. To enlighten some of you 92-96 F, is 33-36 Celsius. And yes for at least a week straight.

[T.N.T.]

Got 3.5"s on top of our already satutrated soil in the last 2 weeks,were more worried about disease then we are worried about drought.Dug in a few posts yesterday,and even the sand is wet to 3' down.

[Klause]

Ag chat I remember that.... and days unto the 40.

2009 was the year. Huge canola swaths doing 18 bu an ac....

Manitoba. .. hottest place in summer and the coldest in winter of the prairies

[newguy]

South Sask has had heat but mornings are wet and nights cool. The killer is hot dry wind..We usually will get that but not so much this year.

[TOM4CWB]

I agree Klause.

Canola likes exactly the opposite of Soy.

Soy loves 20 C at night Canola is much happier with 12-15C at night... sets pods well and fills well when it cools off below 20C.

Below 10 C soy quits... down to 5 and soy takes 2 days to get maturing going again... it is a warm blooded plant!

[SASKFARMER3]

But boys look at the big picture. Is canola losing yield next week or getting bigger, rather simple.
Soy loves this kind of weather.
On soy were two weeks ahead of last year flowering has been happening for over 9 days.