Record high corn and soybean yields in 2014 keep average prices down; low prices may trigger farm subsidies, reduction in CBO estimated savings. U.S. corn and soybean growers expect record high yields in 2014, pushing average prices down to levels that may trigger payments under provisions of the 2014 farm law. The Agriculture Department estimated 14 billion bushels of corn and nearly 4 billion bushels of soybeans this year in its Aug. 12 Crop Production report due to favorable weather conditions. The large supply has led to the lowest prices since 2010, with corn below $4 per bushel and soybeans under $11, according to the USDA Chicago Terminal. If prices remain at this level, farmers are likely to receive payments from two new commodity titles in the farm bill: Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC).
“Payments are very sensitive to prices, which are based upon how high or low yields and prices go,” Carl Zulauf, agriculture economics professor at The Ohio State University, told Bloomberg BNA Aug. 13. “If you were to look at the conditions right now there's a probability that PLC would pay for corn, ARC as well, and payments would be higher for ARC. ARC's county level pro-gram makes payments when average county revenue for a crop year is less than 86 percent of its benchmark reve-nue, said Zulauf, and PLC makes payments when the U.S. crop year average price is less than its reference price set by Congress.
And in Canada....SFA
“Payments are very sensitive to prices, which are based upon how high or low yields and prices go,” Carl Zulauf, agriculture economics professor at The Ohio State University, told Bloomberg BNA Aug. 13. “If you were to look at the conditions right now there's a probability that PLC would pay for corn, ARC as well, and payments would be higher for ARC. ARC's county level pro-gram makes payments when average county revenue for a crop year is less than 86 percent of its benchmark reve-nue, said Zulauf, and PLC makes payments when the U.S. crop year average price is less than its reference price set by Congress.
And in Canada....SFA
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