Predictions for farming in 2015!

[SASKFARMER3]

What I meant is the victim card is funny!
8 years of floods and we loose two of Canada's largest corporate farms that played in our area.
Simply when I worked the Sw in the 80s and seen with my own eyes what drought could do but didn't live it, I didn't truly realize how devastating it was. Then the last 8 years of floods came and funny now I understand. Best life lesson. Hard lesson but best life lesson.
Cheers its farming.

[Braveheart]

SF3, sounds like you'll be taking your next vacation on Victim Island.

[SASKFARMER3]

Yep booked it already leave in February!
HA HA HA
Just remember the droughts lasted 6 years, How well will todays farms cope if history repeats. That's what we need to teach and show our young. What's happening today can change in a heart beat.
I simply am sick of moisture and hoping it dry's out. But the victim thing is funny, Trains moved Alberta grain all winter to make it seem like all was fine while we sat with no service all winter on contracts that were useless. Then a year later moving that grain.

[jake550]

I hope people predicting dry weather are accurate! 4 inches of rain during the growing season if it came at the right time would be perfect.

[SASKFARMER3]

Jake that's all I want its simple one after seeding and one at beginning of June and one at beginning July then Exhibition week in Regina and that's it repeat next year.

[freewheat]

No one knows what will happen. No one ever has, no one ever will.

Those who have been LUCKY, will do fine. Those who have had bad luck for a decade will be in trouble.

All I know, is I made all the best decisions for my farm the last decade. I am what I would call a "good, high producing farmer". But no matter what you do, if you can not seed because it is too wet, during a high price cycle, you would recognize choices you make mean nothing.

Weather luck, and forefathers luck. That IMO is what separates those with a more negative outlook, from those with a more positive outlook.

It is tough to have a positive outlook, when no matter what you do, you struggle to make a living.

But if you were well set up in the first place, or had the fortune of being able to seed every year for the last decade, and not lost millions of dollars to excessive rain, your attitude is going to be more positive, obviously.

My honest opinion? Most will laugh, but I feel if we do get into a couple of poor production years, land prices will crash hard, as farmers realize this is Saskatchewan, not Iowa.

But it is up to the weather.

I think it may well be dryer. I hope to heck so. If so, the former wet areas may well get a chance to prosper, regardless of our decision making abilities....

[grrrr]

I predict good crops, great weather for everyone, and SF3 will learn to spell and use punctuation properly. Oh, wait! I was dreaming!

[Hamloc]

I am not much for predictions but ai have a few thoughts. It is fairly obvious the bull run in commodities is over. I agree margins in canola will be much smaller than in the past few years. The big seed and fertilizer companies will extract more than their share. It is amazing how they have forced us to buy fertilizer storage and to pay for products 9 months out to control costs. How many businesses pay for product that long before we need it. Anyway got off track. Short and sweet. Margins will return to more historical norms. Machinery dealerships will be much less profitable. Livestock farms will make some money after many years of low returns. Both Alberta and federal governments will go to the polls both returning to power. Oil will be back to 70 dollars a barrel by year end. Cheers!

[Oliver88]

What the heck, since the expert opinion was $94/barrel oil to end 2014 I'll give it a shot.

Canola, HRS acres down.
Canola $11 off combine, #2, 12.5 HRS is $6
Barley, oats minimal change.
$5.50 and $3.25, December 2015.
Durum, Flax, canary seed acres up.
Durum and flax prices tank in fall.
Land prices will back off 5% in 2015.
Interest rates will rise 0.5% in fourth quarter.
Rent will stay the same.
Fertilizer will be 30% higher in May than December 2014. (Same as most years.)
The same farmers who have a "shiny paint" addiction will upgrade equipment at outrageous prices. (They will whine about high prices)
Our dollar will end year at $.92
Oil will end year at $92
Diesel will be $.85 in May and .$75 by June.
Putin will drop a few strategic bombs in Saudi Arabia to bring the price of oil up and to send a message.
Weather will be a repeat of 2003, Eastern Sask will have a good year with 5" of rain.
Sask Party, Alberta PC, Federal Conservatives win elections.
Riders win Grey Cup in Winnipeg.

[crusher]

I get the impression some agrivillers have a sense of entitlement. Live within your means and enjoy the beauty around you. Be blessed with what you have been given. If your own situation gets you down, try focusing on helping others less fortunate. Happy trails!

[SASKFARMER3]

Grrrrr that's funny.

[bgmb]

I predict some like braveheart Will need to get their rose colored glasses tinted a little redder than last year to keep everything looking good.