How much less Canola and HRS are Guys going to seed in 2015!

[Braveheart]

Our crop acres have just doubled since last year and we'll keep our canola right up there. Our. budget doesn't have canola projected as great, but at least it's in the green. Demand for it is strong from crushers here. We have ADM at Velva, Northstar at Winkler and Hallock (MN), and Bunge at Altona. Our farm is lucky to sit in the middle of those destinations.

Wheat in our budget is a dog and we're looking to replace a lot of those acres, some with ryegrass, but still looking at barley and/or oats. Barley and oats at least have positive margins and either crop can help us lower input costs.

We haven't ruled out buckwheat or soybeans as well.

[MBgrower]

Soybeans slowly relacing canola acres. Id say farmers east of portage la prairie already growing more beans than canola on farm, slowly dropping acres as they become more comfortable growing a large amount of beans. Hrs acres dropping, replaced with pastuer, fahler and prosper. Yields 80-100 bpa and price to feedmills has been good. Too many unknown grade discounts on HRS wheat, cannot forward contract because of this. More grain corn ever year. Minnedosa ethanol plant pays well.

[sawfly]

Canola and hrs might drop 10-20%.
personally peas will be up,(fed up with high inputs) but in general i do not know, because there were a lot of pea wrecks.
other than that we had pretty good canola crops, wheat varied with frost and fusarium.
Oats , flax,barley , Durham just do not pencil because of freight or climate.
we are into the same old thing where we will oversupply every market.

rents will hold for this year , but
if things stay the same next yr. i can see people backing away

[jd3007]

Canola has made up 50% - 60% of my rotation for the last 4 years with the remaining portion being mostly oats with a little wheat or barley.. My average canola yields were:
2010 - 0 canola seeded too wet.
2011 - 30
2012 - 8
2013 - 40
2014 - 16

I took a huge loss on canola in 2012 and 2014. Three strikes and your out. In 2015 I will be 60% Oats,
25% Canola and 15% will be going back in to perennial forage. Oats pencils a profit at $3.00/bu which is already out there for next year I already have land in hay production and forage yields have been excellent the last few years and there hasn't been a problem selling hay at an average price to make some profit. My canola breakeven is 33 bu/acre. That's all costs in. Risky in an area where moisture has ruined canola in 3 years out of 5.

[wakopa]

If there is another rally with wheat before spring seeding I will put the whole farm in wheat , easy crop to grow and good money.