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    Greece election

    Reuters) - Greeks voted on Sunday in an election expected to bring to power the radical leftist Syriza party, which has pledged to take on international lenders and roll back painful austerity measures imposed during years of economic crisis.

    Barring a huge upset, Syriza, which has led opinion polls for months, will be the biggest party and aims to form the first euro zone government openly committed to cancelling the austerity terms of its EU and IMF-backed bailout program.

    "In Greece, democracy will return," the party's 40-year-old leader Alexis Tsipras told a throng of cameras as he voted in Athens. "The message is that our common future in Europe is not the future of austerity."

    A Syriza win would represent another turning point for Europe after last week's announcement by the European Central Bank of a massive injection of cash into the bloc's flagging economy after years of trying to clamp down on budgets and pushing countries to pass structural reforms.

    Polls close at 7 p.m. (1200 ET), with 9.8 million Greeks eligible to vote. An exit poll is expected immediately after voting ends, with the first official projections due at 9.30 p.m. with results updated into the night.

    While Syriza is expected to form the biggest group in the 300-seat parliament, it is unclear if it will be able to govern alone or have to form a coalition with a smaller party.

    Final polls on Friday gave the party a lead of up to 6.7 points with 31.2-33.4 percent of the vote, slightly under the level needed for an outright victory.

    However the final result could hinge on whether it can convince enough voters that it can keep Greece on a sustainable course, with many wary of idealistic promises.

    "I voted for a small party to force them all to collaborate, get us back to growth and keep us in the euro," said Christos Mousouris, 52, a civil engineer. "People should be realists and not believe in fairy tales."

    Syriza appeared to be widening the gap in the final days of campaigning over the center New Democracy party of Prime Minister Antonis Samaras, who appealed to undecided voters to ensure Greece stays on the path of stability and reforms.

    "Today we are deciding if we move ahead with power, safety and confidence or if we get into an adventure," Samaras said after voting in the western Pelopponese region.

    After its most severe crisis since the fall of the military junta in 1974, Greece's economy has shrunk by some 25 percent, thousands of businesses have closed, wages and pensions have been slashed and unemployment among youth is over 50 percent.

    At the same time, its massive public debt has climbed from 146 percent of gross domestic product in 2010 to 175.5 percent last year, the second highest in the world.

    For a factbox on the Greek elections, click:

    "ENOUGH IS ENOUGH!"

    Greece's economy last year emerged from recession for the first time in six years and unemployment has begun to come down slightly, but it may be years before the country recovers.

    Tsipras' campaign slogan "Hope is coming!" has resonated with austerity-weary voters, despite Samaras' warnings that a Syriza government could bankrupt Greece.

    "We can't take more austerity," said 47 year-old civil servant, Maria Avrami, who said she used to vote for the center PASOK party which shared power with New Democracy in the outgoing government. "I hope Syriza gets a high vote to be strong enough to negotiate with the Europeans," she said.

    Renouncing much of the firebrand rhetoric that was once his hallmark, Tsipras has promised to keep Greece in the euro and dropped threats to "tear up" the tough requirements of its 240 billion euro bailout.

    He has promised to renegotiate a deal with the European Commission, ECB and International Monetary Fund "troika" and write off much of Greece's 320 billion-euro debt, despite clear signs from partners including Germany that they would refuse.

    At the same time, he wants to raise the minimum wage, cut power prices for low income families, cut taxes and reverse pension and public sector pay cuts.

    Financial markets have been on edge ahead of the elections, although the ECB's massive bond-buying program and growing confidence that a Syriza-led government could compromise with its creditors boosted confidence last week.

    Syriza would need around 40 percent of the vote to be guaranteed a majority but it could win with less depending on how well other parties perform.

    If not, it may need to form a coalition with a small party such as the centrist To Potami, the center PASOK or the anti-bailout Independent Greeks or form a minority government, relying on ad-hoc support from other parties.

    Syriza officials have said they would seek a six-month "truce" whereby the bailout program due to end on Feb. 28 would be put on hold while talks with creditors begin.

    But they face stiff resistance from the rest of Europe over demands for a debt write-off, raising the specter of Greece being forced out of the euro if no agreement is reached.

    -Kind of interesting,could trigger a deadly domino effect in the market,but i don't think so,how it all unfolds maybe the play book for the future?Alls i personally see is the direct relation ship between all the provinces of canada,wish more seen the same.

    #2
    Early results.

    According to the initial exit polls, in first place, with some 35.5%-39.5% of the vote is Syriza, a huge lead over the second placing New Democracy which has 23-27% of the vote - far more than polls had indicated previously 0 and a place which practically assures Tsipras' party an absolute majority.

    The other parties:

    Golden Dawn nationalists: 6.4-8.0%
    The new party, To Potami, also with : 6.4-8.0%
    Venizelos' socialist Pasok: 4.2%-5.2%
    KKE: 4.7%-5.7%
    Independent Greeks: 3.5%-4.5%
    Knima: 2.2%-3.2%: probably not enough to pass the 3.0% threshold
    How the parliament breakdown would look like with these numbers: SYRIZA has a 12.5 percentage point lead over New Democracy and is expected to get between 146 and 158 seats in Parliament, according to the exit polls.

    SYRIZA 152 (146-158)
    ND 70 ( 65- 75)
    Golden Dawn 19.5 ( 17- 22)
    POTAMI 19.5 ( 17- 22)
    KKE 14.5 ( 13- 16)
    PASOK 13.5 ( 12- 15)
    ANEL 11.5 ( 10- 13)
    KINIMA ( 0- 8)
    A quick observation:


    In short: if nothing changes drastically from here, a blowout victory for Syriza is essentially assured, one which gives it an absolute majority.

    For those who wish to follow the data in real time from the ground, here are several live webcasts:

    Comment


      #3
      So whatever financial institution that sold greek default swaps should be shitting bricks,but they may rule it a non event(isda),then the whole derivative insurance system will come unglued and thats like a quadrillion dollar thing.

      I suspect a huge jump in the usdx,crashing euro in a few hours.

      Comment


        #4
        More instability just thrown into the pot ! Look out.

        Stronger USD lower CND$, Canadian farmgate grain prices , no change! even though we'll be at less than $0.80 which should translate into a 25% premium.

        Comment


          #5
          Wow did think they want a change in Greece and it happening.
          I like the comment lower Canadian dollar and farmers in west get paid less. Should be a 25% premium yet were same as usa or lower. Ah Canada what a joke.
          To those who think a canola crop like the canola council wants will bring you riches. Yea the grain companies but not the farmers.
          Over produce or just hit the mark needed and they wont pay a penny more than they need.
          Canada where grain companies screw farmers every day but Sunday! Oh wait LDM is open on Sundays now.

          Comment


            #6
            they are in a **** of a pickle.

            If they don't leave or get kicked out the euro zone will be sending quite the message with which road they choose to go down and all the choices they have are horrible.

            If they do leave,who the hell is going to want to hold the new greek currency?there interest rates will go through the roof.

            The banks will be ****ed in a few days because them greeks are going want to hold euro deposits in hand.

            Comment


              #7
              Have to assume Greece won't be part of the EU for long.

              Comment


                #8
                Guess Greece will be land of opportunity.

                Comment


                  #9
                  #14 cotton.

                  New Greek election in six months. Old guard will be back with the Euro.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    An anti-austerity party has won a landmark election victory in Greece which critics fear could force the Eurozone into a fresh crisis.

                    With 97 per cent of the votes counted, radical leftist party Syriza was set to have 149 seats in parliament - just short of the 151 it needs to rule outright.

                    It won 36 per cent of the vote, compared to 28 per cent for the ruling conservatives, in a stark message to the EU despite the outgoing Prime Minister warning Greece would be on the 'brink of catastrophe' and David Cameron saying the result would 'increase economic uncertainty across Europe'.

                    The Euro hit an 11-year low within hours of the result, trading at $1.1098 - down 0.8 per cent and its lowest level since September 2003.

                    Comment


                      #11
                      So - QE did not work in the USA and drove the public debt through the roof....

                      QE will not work in the EU either and will have the same public debt effect....

                      - Austerity in Greece did not force them to step it up and show some value like a kid getting a spanking for not doing his chores... And it drove public debt higher at the same time.

                      HMMM public debt. What the heck... seems to be a common denominator here.

                      How is this public debt created? By selling government bonds to private organisations like the federal reserve and the bank of international settlements and other central banks.

                      Seems to me that this ease of printing money out of thin ****ing air has made it so easy that it has created more social welfare, less and less middle class and a very rich few. No matter what country uses this ridiculous ponzie scheme system.

                      Is it time to back money with something?

                      Is it time to revisit public national banking like we had in Canada prior to 1974? Our "public debt" has been growing since that day as well.

                      There are those who have discovered a way out of this bullshit and it is on its way.

                      Then we can get back on the middle track with a contribution based civilisation and away from the capitalist greed freaks and the lazy assed socialist agenda.

                      An agenda that it seems the governments in the west are leaning toward to gain greater control over their own people.

                      Any ideas cotton - beyond doom and gloom?

                      Comment


                        #12
                        I like this description; capitalist greed freaks and the lazy assed socialist agenda.....

                        Does anyone honestly occupy this space between the two described extremes????

                        Comment


                          #13
                          They are screwed. Commit the crime do the time. We are all gonna suffer so why shudnt they. Lazy bastards who wanna sit around and get something for nothing then bitch when the cheque isnt in the mail.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            I was certainly not calling the Greeks lazy boys. I think the other end of our scale was more of the problem. Shipping companies and mega corps in Greece, just like many other western countries that pay nothing in taxes and squeeze the **** out of employees so they have little left over to generate economic stimulus either.

                            Just thought of something else positive to add to this scenario besides Russia inviting Greece to join the Eurasia community... LOL

                            But not so funny is the FACT that Greece now has another option after they punt what I will refer to as the criminal western banking cabal. That being the BRICS Union's spankin new bank. Could be criminal too - only time will tell.

                            I like our Global Debt Facility chances more every day and/or a switch to Gold and treasure backed currency from gold and treasure in Asia that most of you will call me a loonie tune for even believing exists..

                            Lots of options to doom and gloom. Actually a day to mark on the calendar of history as the petro dollar and phoney money continue to fail.

                            Whoop Whoop.

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Lots of different people and entities own soverign bonds. Pension plans life insurance mutual funds ordinary people. That's why soverign defaults are so painful.

                              Of course money should be tied down. Best idea I've heard is a basket of goods like the top 25 commodities. Even services has been suggested.

                              Comment

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