Yesterday's Canadian GDP cut of 0.2% to 1.9% is a clear indication of further rate cuts by the Bank of Canada possibly in March (IMO).
Also the U.S. GDP for the fourth quarter was revised lower to 2.6% . . . below the average guess of 3.1% and well below the 3rd quarter pegged at 5%.
Translation: Canada is in-recession. The U.S. is slipping back into recession. GDP data released 90 days from now will be very interesting as the true recovery in the U.S. will be put to-the-test.
As far as a rate hike by the U.S. Fed in 2015, not a chance (IMO). The last thing the U.S. needs now is a stronger U.S. dollar which would be the result of a rate hike. Once the 2nd quarter U.S. GDP is released, that will put this interest rate idea into perspective.
Also the U.S. GDP for the fourth quarter was revised lower to 2.6% . . . below the average guess of 3.1% and well below the 3rd quarter pegged at 5%.
Translation: Canada is in-recession. The U.S. is slipping back into recession. GDP data released 90 days from now will be very interesting as the true recovery in the U.S. will be put to-the-test.
As far as a rate hike by the U.S. Fed in 2015, not a chance (IMO). The last thing the U.S. needs now is a stronger U.S. dollar which would be the result of a rate hike. Once the 2nd quarter U.S. GDP is released, that will put this interest rate idea into perspective.
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