I have some of the same concerns everyone else has here about the projections. Having said, I wouldn't bet against the Canola Council building a business case for farmers to grow more canola and help them achieve their target. The CCC has a track record of success. The 7 MMT by 2007 was achieved in 2005. The target of 15 MMT by 2015 was achieved in 2013. You keep highlighting the production but the real accomplishment from my side is the building of customer base to utilize the larger production. Demand pull.
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Think.
If you are well over your ten year average of crop insurance production,
Do you report actual yield or bump it a bit to get a better average.?
Bins empty quicker than most realize. An extra point of dockage. Blah blah blah.
Not sure anyone knows the actual number when you have 2 years of revisions.
Under .75 mmt by July 2016.
Pending what mother nature decides in the next 4 weeks.
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Looked quickly at the last canola digest read the list of sponsors all from industry quickly read the article on 52 by 2025 and filed it under g. Until our rail problems are solved big canola crop of no benefit to farmers as a whole. Charlie my experience with canola is that weather makes a huge difference, if it is too hot during flowering or too humid increasing sclerotinia. I have talked to neighbors in any given year about yields and inputs and regardless of variety or fertilization yields only vary by 5 bushels an acre, mother nature rules the roost.
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Are other crops any different? Which crop will handle a stretch of 30 plus degree temperatures in July - barley or canola? Which crop will handle too much moisture during the growing season - peas or canola? I assume you guys look at all these factors and make planting decisons. Canola acres still go in.
I don't know why I get into arguement. Discussion is 10 years out. Transportation will change. You will grow what the market place wants/is willing to pay for.
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