Farmers Intentions Vs Stats Canada!

[SASKFARMER3]

Conversion is 2.47 acres equal one hectar
2011

2012

2013

2014






Seeded area




in thousands of hectares

Field crops

All wheat
8,726.2 9,630.3 10,625.6 9,789.0 ..

Canola
7,684.7 8,911.7 8,069.8 8,225.2 ..

Barley
2,666.4 2,996.6 2,866.2 2,379.8 ..

Oats
1,312.9 1,164.9 1,284.0 1,132.2 ..

Flaxseed
299.3 396.5 424.9 629.2 ..

Rye
123.5 139.6 109.3 111.3 ..

Soybeans
1,558.8 1,680.4 1,869.2 2,251.0 ..

Corn for grain
1,291.6 1,434.1 1,492.9 1,245.5 ..

Tame hay
6,984.8 6,760.8 6,807.5 6,758.5 ..
Special crops

Canary seed
111.3 135.6 85.0 111.3 ..

Lentils
1,035.0 1,017.7 1,060.3 1,258.6 ..

Sunflower seed
14.2 40.5 28.3 30.4 ..

Mustard seed
132.7 135.5 147.8 202.3 ..

Dry peas
986.0 1,509.3 1,345.4 1,535.7 ..


My guess is real simple. See with the high costs of seeding a crop in Canada thanks to a system that has gone off the rail. Crops like Canola will have issue getting acres. You can believe all the hype all the Bull shit but in reality growing a crop that one needs a 40 bushel crop to break even is not going to win a lot of support. The industry may want you to believe your missing out but in reality farmers are going back to the basics. Costs have got so far out of control to grow a crop yet the drug dealer cant figure out that when you kill your user their is no one to pick up the habit.

HRS acres including Durum, now HRS will be down but Durum will be up so total is 9.8
Canola like I said with seed costs out of this world and fert to feed the crop insane Canola is going to take it on the chin. Wake up companies your greed will kill a crop.
Acreage Canola 7.680
Barley is a crop that if you win the malt lotto your make good money if corn is imported and feed sinks its a crop that can cost you money.
Acreage Barley 3.03
Oats is a crop that does good in certain areas and yes I think oats will go up in the traditional area but down in others so oats could be similar to last year.
Oats acreage 1.35
Flax ha ha ha. See flax is easy to grow. Its only problem is straw and eddy match handles that. Locking in a decent price earlier in year is going to make a cheap crop to grow a blue color on lots of farms. Again seed on other crops is out of hand guys look to cheapest to grow for biggest bang.
Flax acreage is 847.2
Canary Seed will come in at 127.00
Lentils well this one is for the Fert industry you screw us we don't buy. If Western Canada goes back to normal weather Lentils love the summers here and all eyes are on the sky as it looks like the weather has finally went back to a normal pattern.
Lentils production 1.7
Peas ah peas with all your shit show in the wet years production is going back up again. Prices for fall are fair and with trouble in India's growing region they have a shot.
Fert is also a issue so guys will plant.
Pea acreage is 1.9
The acreage is higher as some wet areas will dry up for some farmers to seed more acres than last few years. Those in the real flood zone are still years away from drying up.

Now lets see others predictions.
Ah farming

[ajl]

Acreage up across the board except down slightly on HRS in 2015 is my prediction. We will have a market killing 70MT crop. There is still land coming back into production from pasture and hay. Farmers will seed at a loss has been proven. Seeding in S AB has started and conditions are excellent. Winter wheat looks great. We will need flooding or drought to curb production but not likely this year as the traditional dry zone has excellent reserve.

[grrrr]

It seems like what happens in western Canada has more potential to lower our price than to raise it. What I mean is if we have a poor crop on the prairies, we don't affect the world price all that much and our prices will not rise all that much. If we have a huge crop, again it doesn't affect the world price all that much, but it will cause a prairie glut of grain like we have had the last few years and local prices will tank. Just my opinion.

[farmaholic]

Its a market condition called the "Hypocritical Law of Supply and Demand"!!! And once again, a Canadian Phenomenon.

[SASKFARMER3]

I think, no I'm real sure the cash crunch in western canada is going to effect acreage! Those who had awesome crops and yields the last 8 years are not in that group! Rest of farmers some 70 to 85% are! Grades rail service and piss poor yields and price! But again in the flood Zone a normal year would be welcome!
But let's see who is closer to what got seeded!
Yes the stats can is done in March so lots has changed! But my acreage is for June!
If costs don't reflect final price why grow a crop to lose money!
Fert seed and chem are out to lunch and equipment well that's another topic of insanity!

[fjlip]

If the rains stay south of 49th, USA get bin buster price killer, we stay DRY and get half a crop with SFA for prices. Not what any one wants but wait for it....

[SASKFARMER3]

The summer color will not be yellow this year like the last few it will be Blue and White with a yellow tinge.