Wow, somebody asks a legitimate question and these are the answers he gets? Looked to me like a possible opportunity for some farmers.
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it has been proven here, time and again, organic farming is not for everybody.
The production from organic farms is not for everybody. So production is limited. Calculate the considerably lower yeild than the more efficient conventional farming methods. Price will dictate whether these guys get their organic canola or not. I am guessing I would grow net 15 bu/acre of canola. So my conventional neighbor can easily grow net 45 bu/ acre. I think $30.00 / bushel FOB farm is not unreasonable.
There is room to pay more, the processors have the meal and the oil to sell. At 70 MT/ month that is a demand with very little organic crusher competition.
They also have the option to not crush organic canola if they cannot secure enough supply. Another advantage for organic farmers is they are not dependant on canola for profit. Considering the risk/reward, I would rather attempt to grow an 80 bushel crop of oats at $6.00/bu fob farm or a 60 bu crop of barley at $8.00/bu.
With organic production, its all just a big chance.
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Really, freewheat?
Put on a couple of tonnes of good manure onto a sweet clover stand... when the clover gets to just flowering on year 2, mash it into the ground, or mow it with a batwing type mower.
Leave the field as is that year...
Next year, go in early and plant Synergy or another of the new hybrid early polish varieties... I bet you'll see a 30bu crop
Clover will keep the weeds down, in most cases take care of any winter annuals and most perennials. Plus you just gave your crop 50 to 70lbs of organic N from the clover, and the manure would easily give you 30-50lbs of P.
All depends on your production system and the synergies you create in the field.
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