As was noted in S/F crop report - a big chunk if US winter wheat sucks - most of us knew that for a while now. Rain on a crop heading out less than a foot tall does very little, especially if it's been beat up with frost before hand . But hey the traders did there job and drove down the wheat market last month so wheat could never rally to far up . I don't expect to much of a rally cause there is still too much wheat around acceding to the "market"
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Wheat finally going to wake up?
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US hard red winter conditions could be priced in the market already. If they had an above average on the way, futures would be lower. Also, more wheat coming from former soviet union every year. Supplies look plentiful. Question is, will western canadian bids drop below $4/bu following harvest?
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