Maybe we need it to stay dry to hurry this crop along!

[fjlip]

Free you don't remember the blast furnace Aug 2002? Ya bucket WHY? 2007, 2010, 2012 were all tough years in this spot on earth. Dry? Spraying wheat through WATER today, crop is near limit stage. Canola near 6 leaf stage too. Extremes of weather and crop, what a 2015 so far!

[oneoff]

On the other hand.....I was thinking today what an opportunity to be considering getting into or expanding a farming business,

Diesel at less than 67 cents (plus GST) a liter.... Select/Centurion/Shadow grassy weed herbicide at about 1/3 historical prices (174.00 a case)and less than 10.00 per acre....... and widespread access to legal Roundup Ready One soybeans next year at total seeding costs next year of maybe quite a bit less than 40.00 an acre. No nitrogen fertilizer needed, full innoculant package; seeding at right time of years; cheap glyphosate and control of practically any weed problem. Even legally save your own seed and make a real statement. Why would anyone feed seed companies for any longer than their patent period. They would appreciate you more if you exercised the rights you actually do have/ yet are seemingly reluctant to use.
Now assuming soybeans do fairly consistently fit in with a significant cropping area of the prairies....just why not spend 40 bucks an acre instead of of 120 plus for some salesmans promise of 15% greater yield.

First of all you probably won't and may never see the 15% increase; and next remember it only comes at an incremental cost of triple the seeding costs (which is obviously a lot more than any promised 15% increase...... ; and next it is examples of 15% excess production that depresses crop prices of all soybeans (etc.) to below cost of production;..... and next it just might be a perfect example of how to force down exhorbitant monopolistic seed prices from past and current levels and finally its a lesson still to be learned that it is counterproductive to be greedy and striving to drive both yourself and your peers out of business.

Now drop the concept of beating the average by assuming all the risk of delivering crops (forward contracting) not even yet planted; and we might have the foundation of sustainable farming in the future without reliance on government programs; outside financing and subsidized insurance programs in their many forms and schemes.

Nah!! Average age of farmers; the unwillingness to do anything for a common good; let alone become involved in changing the status quo makes these ideas all non starters.

Still, to me it looks promising on paper.

[SASKFARMER3]

Free I was up at green water the night in August that it froze. It stunk so bad the next morning it was sick. In the flat before wadena it was 0 at 11:30 when I drove through town up to our campsite. How did you miss the frost!

[freewheat]

Fj, we were on vacation in BC that year, and we came home to crispy grass. But lots of my canola was over 6 feet tall, (2573), and yielded 52 that year. We were in a pocket.

SF3, most of our land is on a higher plateau, if you will. We are probably 200 feet above the lower level south of Wadena. This has helped us out many times in the fall. And greenwater is a different duck, especially south of it, in the Pipestone valley where it freezes consistently. What a shame, some of that soil is tremendous, but they regularly freeze in that pocket.

I remember a lot about the crops outside our pocket that year and in 2003 as well.

Weather varies a lot. In 1999 as I mentioned, I had some peas freeze about July 19th. It was some low land near a lake. No one had a clue it froze that year, except me and my peas.

There is general weather, and then there are those years where a guy gets lucky or unlucky, within mere miles of great, or poor crops.

[farmaholic]

Oneoff, wishful thinking, because most farmers would rather try to eat their peers lunch.

They have us competing for limited crop supplies(yeah right), sometimes equipment, elevator space, rail capacity, markets and we compete against each other for land.

[Hopperbin]

Actually chemicals are cheap this year. Grass control full rate in flax peas at 4.75. Barricade plus horizon 13.75. Glyphs price who the fk cares.

[oneoff]

farmaholic....good analysis.

Too, too bad there aren't but a rare few who can even see the point.

Way to wound up in one's self. History will show there will be days of reckoning.

[oneoff]

Again; on the other hand; I'm willing to bet there's real farm income to be made with a scenario as detailed in the post above.

Certainly with the previso that soybeans have got to show they aren't just the one hit wonder of last year in some new areas. Remember the lessons of Glenlea wheat, fababeans, fall seeded canola, coriander, and even ostrich eggs; elk and dozens of other ventures that didn't begin to pan out.

But successes can be pointed to as well.