• You will need to login or register before you can post a message. If you already have an Agriville account login by clicking the login icon on the top right corner of the page. If you are a new user you will need to Register.

Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Total Canadian Production! Crop Tour you cant make ugly nice!

Collapse
X
Collapse
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

    Total Canadian Production! Crop Tour you cant make ugly nice!

    Ok its summer and most of us do travel a bit more than in the winter months. The rain makes grain is true if rain events of the year are normal. This year all along for our farm normal is a rain after seeding then one in June and July and finally Exhibition week and its game set match.
    But what Im seeing on driving around and stopping and getting out of the vehicle and actually looking is were probably in line with Half the crop of 2013. Across the board.
    Thin Durum if it gets any rain will fill that head nice. Short peas that are turning and 6 in to foot tall and thin are done. Canola done flowering and setting seed will fill if moisture comes but if it runs out the plant shuts down. Wheat and barley will fill what's their but that's it.
    Problem some dry areas will see is new growth if major rain hits. Seeds that didn't start in spring will start. But as far as extra yield the crop is past the point of adding bushels its just stabilized what's their. Those that missed rains have further deterioration.
    Most crops start to drop real fast once you head west of Regina. Then pick up in a area around gull lake then drop off fast. One field that last year had one of the nicest Canola crops I have ever seen in SW Sask had barley this year turning white and thin.
    Calgary has a circle around it that's getting water and Sat Sunday was same.
    The central and area I traveled last week a good rain event would perk up the crop that was hanging on but again initial yield is set. Rain now would have stools trying to head later in year and grade issues.
    So basically rain now gets some to the end and some it gives a bigger headache in grade uneven crop second growth, and production that makes them just over crop insurance.
    Crops that looked worse for ware are Canola and Peas and Barley and Some flax. Crops that were thin with but will make some thing are Durum and HRS. Crops looking very nice were Lentils.
    So again Ill go out and predict were Half the crop of 2013, Which was the largest ever.
    Why half because the last time Alberta had the Highest yields then flood damage did its number on Sask and West Manitoba. Southern had good. This time Man is Same in Red West and East sack have good to great but acreage cuts by to wet areas at seeding did not add acreage this spring. Next is a different story. Then the large production areas in 2013 will be less this year.
    What are others guessing.

    #2
    Ill take a guess but make it for the 3 prairie provinces.
    2013 production was reported at about 76 million tonnes. I'll say 63 percent of 2013 or about 48 million tonnes.
    I reserve the right to change my guess as many times as I want!

    Comment


      #3
      2013 crop was overstated by Stats Can but I agree with the 48 million ton estimate. There is lots of acres that will not produce this year but there are more acres overall seeded combined with more irrigated acres this year that will make the crop surprisingly big for a drought year.

      Comment


        #4
        My eyes out the truck window expert opinion. This is a guess as of today. Alberta will have 30% of last years production due to extreme drought. Saskatchewan will have about 60% of last years production due to drought in the west and patchy crops on the east. Manitoba will have 70% of last year crops look good but some are late due to frost and reseeding this will reduce some yeild potential.

        Comment


          #5
          Agree with Breadwinner.

          Have driven from Altona to Edmonton

          Comment


            #6
            Canola seems like the crop that's been affected the most. I haven't taken a full scale tour but from what I've seen its very very poor!! Anything from Assiniboia up to Moose Jaw, Regina and either direction is pathetic!! Some should have been sprayed off. Talked with someone yesterday by Kindersley and said a Hutt colony sprayed off over 5000 ac canola. That tells me that part of province is in tough shape. After the 35 degree day on Fri I'm sure things got worse. But, of course it did rain in places this wk end, and of course that fixed everything....... Markets are down this morning, absolute joke.

            Comment


              #7
              Just a thought. For those of you that get around the countryside pull out you iPhone and post. Picture speaks a thousand words right.

              Comment


                #8
                Agree SF3, best looking crops are(drum roll here!),,, lentils!
                On a drive yesterday and yes, they really look good this year. Even stand through the fields, and no patchy colours.

                Comment


                  #9
                  It's pretty tough to take pictures that would show the whole picture. There is some great crops and there is some complete disasters. I would think a vegetative sat shot comparing this year to last would be best.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Weber......

                    Enter stage right with those maps.

                    Drumroll ........

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Lentils will avg around 800lbs an acre this rain is too late to help much.

                      Comment


                        #12
                        biglentil, what area you at?

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Se Regina 15 miles

                          Comment


                            #14
                            From canora to saskatoon the crops arent bad not the best but pretty good for the hit and miss rains. You can definitely tell the areas that got the timely rains. Saw some real nice lentils on the way. I would be happy along highway 5

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Bucket...... Larry charges for that stuff. I pay for his newsletters. Throwing out a bit of bait now and then Larry wouldn't hurt.....or offend me.

                              Comment

                              • Reply to this Thread
                              • Return to Topic List
                              Working...