Are we past the worst of this drought?

[Ache4Acres]

will be interesting what this looks like next month. from the sounds of the rains, I think the drought conditions are much less for lots of folks. Sorry to those that did not get lucky.

http://www.agr.gc.ca/atlas/maps_cartes/aafcCanadianDroughtMonitor/en/2015/

<a href="http://s284.photobucket.com/user/coupal2/media/Drought%20monitor_zpsdhg3a4og.jpg.html" target="_blank"><img src="http://i284.photobucket.com/albums/ll36/coupal2/Drought%20monitor_zpsdhg3a4og.jpg~original" border="0" alt=" photo Drought monitor_zpsdhg3a4og.jpg"/></a>

[fjlip]

Everything back to normal Sk July weather, T-Storms moving FROM the SW all across the farm land. 3 months of the BLOB is GONE!

[Hopperbin]

Holy shit. that chart puts me in the yellow. Klause home and Humboldt should not have been considered in drought. Everyone here had excess beginning may as first planting was making ruts or dragging the drill sideways along the hill. How things can change fast. can you bring up last year this time?

[Koldkanuck]

Did you look who put out the map. This alone means its 30 days or more prior to June 30th, the July 30th map will be closer to what is out there now. Its takes the highlly educated government workers 30 days to type in the data, if not more.

[Koldkanuck]

Leave it to the government....Agriculture and Agri Foods, for the nice drought map. I' m sorry to see that its dry around Whitehorse and Yellowknife.....gonna hurt the canola and wheat grown in those areas. Oh ya, and its dry close to Inuvik....gonna be easier growing peas and lentils on the permafrost I suppose.

[Ache4Acres]

hopper....as expected same month last year..no drought in sight.

<a href="http://s284.photobucket.com/user/coupal2/media/drought_2014_zps59zzfw5s.jpg.html" target="_blank"><img src="http://i284.photobucket.com/albums/ll36/coupal2/drought_2014_zps59zzfw5s.jpg~original" border="0" alt=" photo drought_2014_zps59zzfw5s.jpg"/></a>

[sawfly]

an actual puddle ,on the road in the yard yesterday. first in over a month
mostly too late ,but still a relief
from relentless heat and drought .

maybe my mood will improve now.

[TOM4CWB]

As I Posted below Weather forecasters see changes in the blocking ridge that caused this.

this excerpt from DTN yesterday:

" The good news is that during the next 48 hours some of these dry areas should also get in on some decent rains. There is even some chance that heavy rains could fall for some of central and southern Alberta and western Saskatchewan between now and early Saturday as low pressure slides slowly eastward across the southern Prairies.

The return of the rain and cooler weather for many areas should certainly boost soil moisture levels and begin the recovery process for many crops. Drought stress has not been as big of a problem for Manitoba this summer, but even these areas will see some welcome rain during the next few days.

The return of the rain is due to a change in the jet stream flow pattern. We now have a flow coming in from the north Pacific in a fashion to allow weather systems to cross through the Prairies and produce the needed rain.

The overall rainfall pattern during the coming few weeks looks better than what we saw earlier in the summer. While rains are not expected to be with us all of the time, we do see a more normal pattern of rain potential every few days for most areas. Again, not everyone will see rain with each event, but over time most areas should see enough rain to benefit crop development.

Most of the long-range computer models indicate that as we move from late July to early August during the crop maturing stage, we should see near- and maybe above-normal rains. Temperatures are expected to average near or a bit cooler than normal which could become an issue if it becomes too cool.

Crop conditions and soil moisture levels should show improvement across an increasingly greater area during the coming week as a result of recent and expected rainfall. Areas reporting very dry conditions should be on the decline.

Doug Webster can be reached at doug.webster@dtn.com"

[TOM4CWB]

Special Weather StatementIssued at 00:59 Friday 17 July 2015
Summary
A soggy change in the weather is on the way. A slow-moving low pressure system will anchor itself over Alberta tonight and Friday, bringing with it plenty of moisture. The moisture-laden system is expected bring a swath of moderate to heavy rain over portions of Central Alberta. Current projections are that somewhere between 30 and 50 millimetres of rain will fall over the regions tonight and Friday, with locally higher amounts possible. However, some uncertainty exists in both the rainfall amounts and the exact location of the rain swath. In addition to the rain, strong northerly winds, perhaps gusting as high as 80 km/h, are likely to accompany the already dreary day. Winds and rain will abate on Friday afternoon or evening.

[SASKFARMER3]

Ok its the middle of July and unless it doesn't freeze till end of October rain now will only keep the hang mans noose in the gallows.
The pattern did change some time after the first week of July. No more hit and miss showers now its rains, some real heavy some just a spit.
But one thing the drought map isn't telling is the area that was flooded the crops really didn't get hurt that much as the ground was saturated. I have yellow spots in my fields from excess water now where canola is sitting in water. This high water table got a lot of guys through a tough one.
But if the sub moisture is gone and this repeats next year. Were in a drought cycle and next year will be ugly.

[sumdumguy]

I have noticed that the low areas that were drowned out last year are not lush and thick like they should be. Shouldn't they be heavy in crop this year?

[ado089]

It will take 6" of rain with no crop growing to replenish soil moisture. Hopefully October and November are sloppy or next year could make this year look like a walk in the park.

[freewheat]

Sum dum. Noticed the same thing. I assume denitrification/leaching?

[Klause]

Actually no.


We have handheld tissue/soil test meters.. The N levels in the plant isn't the problem it's the salinity of the ground.


we had one quarter next to hopper that had an extremely high water table due to a mega slough... When it dropped and all the potholes dried up we seeded it end to end but put 100 lbs an ac of elemental s with the seed.... very uniform stand all the way thru all the wet spots. The fields that didn't get this treatment look thinner and poorer around sloughs and thru old dried out wet spots.

[furrowtickler]

Agree with Kluase - go for a long drive - 80% of the latest rains wre far too late - JMO