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Prairie Probe... the Pacific Blob... warm dry fall!!!

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    Prairie Probe... the Pacific Blob... warm dry fall!!!

    From DTN;
    "PRAIRIE MARKET PROBE 9/02

    FROST NOT EXPECTED TO BE MAJOR CONCERN FOR PRAIRIE GROWERS
    Despite snowfall around Calgary and some localized frost in parts
    of Alberta and Saskatchewan last week, forecasters are suggesting that
    frost damage should not be a prevalent issue for grain and oilseed
    producers this harvest season, reports the Western Producer.
    The mercury dipped as low as -2 C in some parts of Alberta's Peace
    River region early Aug. 22. It is unclear how much damage occurred but
    late emerging crops may have been touched in some areas, said crop
    specialists at Alberta's Ag Info Centre.
    Temperatures also dipped to -2 C in parts of western and
    southwestern Saskatchewan but it is unclear how much damage was caused
    to crops in those areas.
    Frost was also reported around Lacombe and in some parts of
    northeastern Alberta but damage was reported as light in most areas
    and impact on crops is believed to be minimal.
    Looking to the longer range forecast, Brett Anderson, senior
    meteorologist with AccuWeather, anticipates a temperate autumn because
    of a "warm blob" of water in the Pacific Ocean off the coast of
    British Columbia.
    That is leading to a high pressure system along the West Coast,
    which will deflect Pacific storms north into the Yukon and Alaska,
    rather than allowing them to track west across the Prairies.
    The result is a warmer and drier fall for at least the western half
    of the Prairies.
    Daytime temperatures will be above normal, but it may become cool
    at night because of the low humidity levels.
    "I do think our first frost freeze will be on schedule across much
    of the region this fall despite the warmer-than-normal pattern," said
    Anderson.
    Andrew Owen, meteorologist with World Weather Inc., also believes
    farmers can put aside concerns of an early fall frost.
    "For most of them, it's going to be near normal dates," he said.

    PERENNIAL GRAIN CROPS ON THE WAY
    Seed it once, then sell everything except the combine and just keep
    harvesting year after year.
    It might not work out quite that way, but a perennial grain crop
    that can withstand cold Prairie winters is a little closer to reality
    for Canadian farmers, according to an Alberta Wheat Commission
    article.
    University of Manitoba perennial crop breeder Doug Cattani has been
    at work since 2010 at the Ian N. Morrison Research Farm here,
    overseeing plots of intermediate wheatgrass, wild sunflowers,
    perennial cereal ryegrass, and an assortment of other native plants.
    He says intermediate wheatgrass is now showing the most promise for
    earliest commercial availability.
    All the crops Cattani is studying share the common trait of being
    perennial relatives of key food crops. But as he's made his crosses
    and selections these past four years, it's become clear some are worth
    pursuing and some not. For example, the program for perennial cereal
    ryegrass is basically on the shelf now. The disease problems they
    discovered are more than their time and resources can accommodate.
    "The wide cross that we made to generate the materials led to
    excessive ergot," Cattani said. "It became something that would
    require a lot more work than we are currently able to put in."
    On the other hand, his now completed selections of intermediate
    wheatgrass material not only have shown they can survive three
    successive Prairie winters, but produce consistent grain yields.

    CANARY MARKET UNDERCUT BY WEAK DEMAND
    Weak international demand means Prairie canaryseed prices likely
    have nowhere to go but down, according to an industry official,
    reports Syngenta Farm.
    "Demand is terrible," said David Nobbs, general manager at Canpulse
    Foods, and chair of the Canaryseed Development Commission of
    Saskatchewan.
    Europe has been buying, "next to nothing," and Mexico - its buying
    power reduced by a weak peso - is sitting on the sidelines awaiting
    lower prices, Nobbs added.
    "The currency issues have scared a lot of buyers and that's an
    issue."
    Canaryseed prices hit their highs in the summer and are now mainly
    holding steady in the 28 to 30 cent/lb range.
    In addition to weak demand, Nobbs said the canaryseed market has
    been undermined by talk ahead of harvest that conditions have improved
    from early July. Crops in west-central and southeastern Saskatchewan
    remain relatively poor, however, as dry conditions in the province
    have reduced yield prospects.
    One of the last crops to be harvested on the Prairies, new-crop
    canaryseed should start hitting the market in mid-September, Nobbs
    said.

    NUTRIENT RECYCLING CONSIDERED CRITICAL
    Nick Savidov doesn't mince words when he talks about relying solely
    on synthetic fertilizer to feed the planet, reports the Alberta Farmer
    Express.
    "The fact is that if we don't learn how to recycle nutrients and
    water, we are doomed," said the senior research scientist at the Bio-
    industrial Opportunities Branch of Alberta Agriculture and Forestry.
    "We will start dying off from hunger. This is just one approach to
    prolong our existence on this planet."
    Savidov is part of a team using a device called a bioreactor to
    extract nutrients from waste streams like animal manure. Described as
    'liquid composting,' the bioreactor uses micro-organisms in an oxygen-
    rich environment to mineralize and dissolve the nutrients in a liquid
    solution. The nutrients can then be reused as plant food.
    Recycling nutrients is critical because synthetic fertilizer
    sources are non-renewable, said Savidov. For example, 85 per cent of
    all phosphorus rock reserves on the planet are located in just one
    region (Morocco and the Western Sahara) while nitrogen synthetic
    fertilizers can only be produced using fossil fuels.
    ----------------------------------------------------------------
    Prairie Market Probe is written by David Gliddon
    at DePutter Publishing Ltd.
    Phone (519) 433-0133 or e-mail info@dwgconsulting.ca
    -----------------------------------------------------------------
    "

    #2
    That canaryseed portion of the article makes me think I smell a fish. Are they trying to talk down prices or get farmers to dump their canary?!? I have not seen a canaryseed crop top his year that is even 1/3 of normal yield. Production is way down and I have to be betting that prices are going higher not lower...only time will tell!

    Comment


      #3
      Agree Archie - actual production will be dismal

      Comment


        #4
        They could be right Tom - but all it takes is a 4 hr freeze soon and it still could be a great fall - sample canola is still sample even if it is dry. Although it is getting closer every day. Started cutting our reseeded canola today. Many though , not even close.

        Comment


          #5
          Canary seed please some one show me a awesome crop. Ok Show me a decent crop. Ok show me any thing that looks ok.
          Canary is one crop that is ugly from one end to the other.
          Most late Canola should be ok if it doesn't freeze for 7 more days to 10.

          Comment


            #6
            Where do these *** morons come from they know absolutely fk all about what is going on at the farm level or anywhere else, probably has a deal struck with someone to talk down the market then cash in big when reality that there is fk all out there for crop hits. Farmers sure have marketing power don t we?

            Comment


              #7
              Every Canary crop I have seen will have trouble yielding more than 10-15 bus/acre on gumbo. Not saying there aren't some better crops in areas that got the early showers.

              Comment

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