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...three or four years of success...???????

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    ...three or four years of success...???????

    India to be regular wheat importer, says CWB
    Thu Dec 13, 2007 12:04pm

    By Mayank Bhardwaj

    NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India will be a regular wheat importer in the future despite being the world's second-biggest producer as demand from a growing population races ahead, a Canadian Wheat Board official said on Wednesday.

    India imported 5.5 million tonnes of wheat in 2006, its first overseas buys in six years, and has tied up contracts for 1.8 million tonnes this year.

    "I would suggest that India is going to be importing on a more regular basis," Dave Burrows, a wheat board director, told Reuters in an interview in New Delhi.

    "Perhaps not every year, but on a more regular basis than they have in the past."

    Burrows is in India as part of a delegation which aims to help the South Asian giant set up food processing units.

    Analysts say India needs around 73 million tonnes of wheat annually to feed its more than one billion population. Domestic production has been stagnating, forcing the government to order expensive imports to build reserves.

    "We are sensitive to the fact that India's population by all accounts is growing by about 20 million people a year and your crop size is around 70-74 million tonnes," Burrows said.

    The Canadian Wheat Board, one of the world's biggest sellers, supplied a million tonnes of wheat to India last year, Burrows said, adding it has sold 350,000 tonnes this year.

    Canada is the world's second-biggest wheat exporter after the U.S. but ahead of major player Australia.

    Expressing concern over climate change and its adverse impact on wheat-growing regions, Burrows said India was not immune to the threat.

    High temperatures in February 2006 clipped Indian output to 69.3 million tonnes, forcing the government to look overseas for stocks. According to government estimates, India produced 74.9 million tonnes in 2007.

    Burrows said Canada produces 20 million tonnes of wheat annually but consumes only 2.3 million tonnes due to its small population.

    "There is nothing that would prohibit us from having more business dealings in the future. India is a growing market with a growing population and a strong economy," he said.

    But importing countries should be prepared to pay more for wheat as demand was expected to run ahead of supplies even if availability improves in 2008.

    "I think farmers would like to see two, three or four years of success in buoyant prices before they actually make a commitment to grow more wheat," he said.

    Canada's 2008 wheat output was expected to cross this year's level, improving supplies, but production would not rise substantially, he said.

    According to Statistics Canada, the country produced 20.05 million tonnes this year.

    #2
    "I think farmers would like to see two, three or four years of success in buoyant prices before they actually make a commitment to grow more wheat," he said.


    What say you guys?

    Does this cwb guy have it right?

    For me, I'm ready to roll on expanding my wheat acres big time, I see great opportunity in wheat,

    If we could lock in these prices,

    if we could lock in delivery oppotunities,

    if I knew the cwb wasn't going to screw me on basis,

    or out of the blue decide that the way to offer better marketing opportunities will be the same way TicketMaster will sell Led Zeppelin Reunion Tour tickets.

    if we could grow the best varieties available,

    IF I could make a great profit growing wheat.

    I'd be expanding my acres in a heartbeat, I don't need four years to decide what is good for my farm.

    But nooo! let's just let the dysfunction live on and on and on.

    And tell ourselves things that are patently false in order to justify our own failings,

    and by no means could we ever admit that we're the problem (the cwb), it's the farmers that are so slow they need four years to decide, but what else can you expect from the same group who can't figure out a three option question?
    -------------------------------
    Clowns to left of Me, Jokers to the right, and here I am stuck in the middle of GOO!

    Comment


      #3
      So if durum prices have stayed at over $16.00 mid point ND since end of Sept and we are looking at a take home of 11.26 mid point Sask. then that means the CWB gave away most of this years production for the infamous 7.00 that according to them most American farmers sold for.

      Comment


        #4
        It would be interesting to know how much durum was rolled into the 07-08 pool, which was sold at lower prices, and is therefore diluting the 07-08 pool. In July, when we were delivering to the elevator or loading producer cars, it didn't take a rocket scientist to realize that we would gain on every bushel. I know that anyone who was strapped for cash through the spring and summer because the railways wouldn't provide producer cars and therefore had to wait to load in July, have a big smile on their face now. I guess we can be thankful that when durum movement was tight in previous years some of the guys fudged their numbers so that they could deliver more durum, or there would have been alot more durum available to roll into the 07 -08 pool. I only wish that I had paid storage on the durum that I hauled in the last spring.

        Comment


          #5
          Geessshh....at 11.26.......you should be ecstatic!!....didn`t an old binder pilot down near Midale(??) cash everything out because he got 10$??Must be plain Alberta style greed taking over now that you`ve got different gov`t!!!!877-554-2106 You won`t get that off key violin sound here!!!! Ahh what the heck.....I will call it WHINING!

          Comment


            #6
            magnum

            Off topic of PRO but any thoughts on what could be done at the end of crop years that would offset some of the problems of moving sales/delivery across pooling years?

            Comment


              #7
              Cropduster, i'd really like to know what's with the 877 number in almost every thread you post. Also the carry over from pool to pool will always be here as long as we have the anti free market cwb pooling system. And as far as farmers fudging their numbers, until a farmer gets caught with his hand in the cookie jar, it will continue. It's one smart way of doing your own market research and being able to sell your entire production in years when you're sure the cwb won't sell all of your crop.

              Comment


                #8
                It`s not dial-a-prayer!Try it and see!

                Comment

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