Marketing Skills

[chaffmeister]

silverback:

CGC data 06/07 crop year:

MB CWB wheat deliveries: 3.09 mmt
Total CWB deliveries: 14.62 mmt

MB proportion: 21%

[chaffmeister]

for those that are interested.....

06/07 crop year:

MB CWB barley deliveries: 117,800 tonnes
Total CWB barley deliveries: 1.724 mmt

MB proportion: 6.8%

This is malt and feed combined - but it'll be mostly (if not all) malt.

[bgmb]

Easy on us Manitobans boys.
We're not all socialist politicians from winnipeg
The question you should be asking is how much malt and wheat is produced in Winnipeg?

NONE

I could care less about Winnipeg or the CWB jobs.

The NDP is such a joke.

[silverback]

So if Manitoba producers produce 7% of cwb barley sales, and 21% of cwb wheat sales, why are the only people quoted in the media from Manitoba?

Oops, my mistake, these are not even cwb sales volumes correct? These are just acres. How much of their wheat production ends up in the livestock sector?

Anyone? Vader?

[parsley]

silver,

Why is it you never ask a question for which you do not know the answer?

Parsley

[chaffmeister]

silverbck:
those ain't acres - them's tonnes delivered.

And the CWB doesn't sell into the domestic feed market.

[silverback]

Sorry, mind old and slipping

I cannot find that cwb delivery/sales info on the cgc site.

The link from parsley shows that actual barley production is:

Manitoba - 1,228,000 kgs or 13.2 %
Sask - 3,418,000 kgs or 36.9%
AB - 4,610,000 kgs or 49.8%

[chaffmeister]

They never make it easy....

Go to:
http://www.grainscanada.gc.ca/pubs/grainstats/2006-07/07gsw_shg52.pdf

This is the last of the weekly stats reports - it includes year-to-date deliveries by grain and by province. For barley you need to subtract non-CWB deliveries (on page 16) from the total deliveries (page 6) to get CWB deliveries.

Like I said, they don't make it easy.

[parsley]

From Morris Dorosh's Agri-Week:

Quote

What premium?

The market is not paying much for
high protein

If there is the frantic demand for
high wheat protein that some suggest
as the explanation for soaring Minneapolis wheat prices, how come
protein premiums aren’t through the
roof?

Last week at Portland exporters were bidding a mere 16 cents higher for 13% hard red spring wheat than 12% and 50 cents for 14%.

The Canadian Wheat Board’s published asking prices indicated no premium above 12% for up to 13.5% hard red spring wheat, just 70 cents a tonne for 14.0%, $1.50 a tonne for 15.0% and $7.89 for ultra-rare 17.0% that can be used to blend up almost any quality of hard wheat to baking standards.

These tiny premiums give more reason to believe that the highly unusual
inter-market differential currently
have more to do with market dynamics than product type or quality.


In times past protein differentials
in U.S. milling wheat for the same type and grade have often been over a dollar a bushel in the area of $40 a
tonne.

Another curiosity: Wheat Board paying prices to farmers for 15.0% protein 1CWRS wheat are about $9 a tonne higher for than for 13%.
Unquote


Parsley

[TOM4CWB]

Parsley,

It is quite elementary my dear Parsley;

Winter wheat, and virtually all the soft wheats; are low protein and need a good blend of 13.5px hard red/white to make a good texture of bread.

Ordinary winter is usually around 10.5%px... where Hard Red/White is 13.5%.

In 2006, because of the drought, the KCBT Winter wheat was close to that 13%px on average... this year (07) much closer to 10.5% on average.

Now everyone is forced into DNS/CWRS for blending wheat... where in 06 HRW from Kansas and Okie/Neb/Col/Tex was generally good enough to be the blending wheat of choice... therefore the reason that KCBT was higher than MGE for much of the 2006 crop trading year.

Hence... NOW...in 2007 MGE goes through the roof... because new crop (08)DNS is a long way from being in the bin... and HRW is normally low protein(px)and not a blending wheat.

Clear as mud?

Quite logical...really!