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    #25
    "Drew Lerner Mentioned at Farmtech that corn is
    pollinating in Argentina... and 3.5 weeks with no rain
    after much rain, yesterday."

    There was a mention of some rain over the week end...
    but not enough to break the drought is likely.

    The 'much rain' was before the last 3.5 weeks... and
    yesterday was referring to Drew Lerner's presentation.

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      #26
      Thanks for posting all that TOM, Drew has been fairly close with his forecasts the last couple years, interesting. I can see how we might get a late spring frost this year as the weather pattern already seems that we've been getting quick blasts of cold air from the NW, usually with lots of wind, then followed by a thaw. Here SESK, we've had many more thaws in Dec and Jan already than normal. We haven't had the constant, steady cold, like some years. Two years ago, we didn't get a thaw from the end of Nov till Mar, made for a very long winter.

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        #27
        I heard Drew yesterday too. There were a lot of maybe's, percentages, different scenarios. He didn't sound nearly as confident as the last few times I heard him. I believe he missed the forecast for my area big time last year. Time will tell.

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          #28
          Crusher,

          The frost being late was bang on. The dry fall was
          exact for Killam... 10 miles north.... Hail and rain...
          many storms caused havoc but the overall forecast was
          close.

          Getting farm specific is impossible... averages the only
          possible way to forecast. Big year for hail... but for
          people it missed...

          Cheers!

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            #29
            Very interesting day today with a very strong open and then cereals starting to slip (not the close yet). Not surprising in that many traders like to even their positions ahead of a weekend/maybe profits.

            Sunday night/Monday will be interesting.

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