Weekly Canola / Soy Crush; Opinion on Grain Exports

[TOM4CWB]

WEEKLY CRUSH UPDATE
COPA members crushed 168,681 tonnes of canola in the week ending Oct. 14 down
8.6% from the week before. The 2015/16 crop year-to-date total crush is
1,540,306 tonnes versus 1,480,866 a year ago. Crush capacity utilization was
84.4% (82.1% last year) and 75.0% year-to-date.
COPA estimates put Canada's soybean crush at 33,898 tonnes in the week ending
Oct. 14, up 11.2%. The 2015/16 crop year to date total crush is 371,982 tonnes
versus the prior year's 238,926. Crush capacity utilization was 51.5% (35.3%
last year) and 55.0% year-to-date.

OPINION: Canadian exports of all crops through CGC licensed facilities as of last week, week 11 of the crop year, were running 6 percent below year ago levels. Farmers last year, prior to harvest, were delivering from the very large 2013 crop.
For the year as a whole Ag Canada forecasts exports 12 percent below last year. This reflects mainly supplies being 10 percent below a year ago. As far as shipping is concerned the railways have consistently moved in excess of a million tonnes a week since new crop supplies picked up in early September. Country elevator stocks have built up since harvest started, and at around 3.2M tonnes are mid way between a level when country elevator supplies limit shipments and when elevators become congested. It seems that most participants’ plans are being met.
David Walker, Edmonton, AB, CA

[TOM4CWB]

Key figures from Grain Week 10:

CN and CP supplied 8,897 (90%) of the 9,854 hopper cars ordered for delivery in Grain Week 10 resulting in 957 hopper car orders remaining outstanding.
Timeliness of car supply: CN supplied 97% and CP 83% of the hopper cars that were ordered for Grain Week 10.
Non-bulk, USA/Mexico, Canadian domestic performance: CN supplied 93% and CP 64% of the hopper cars ordered for Grain Week 10.
Thunder Bay performance: CN supplied 96% and CP 80% of the hopper cars ordered for Grain Week 10.
502 (6%) of the cars ordered for Grain Week 10 were supplied early (the prior week).
Grain Year to Date

90% of hopper car orders have been delivered by CN and CP for the want week.
7% of hopper car orders have arrived 1 week late.
3% of hopper car orders are outstanding.
1232 cars supplied by railways have been rejected by shippers as unsuitable for loading due to mechanical or sanitary reasons.
Past weekly reports can be found on the Ag Transport Coalition website: www.agtransportcoalition.com



* The Ag Transportation Coalition is comprised of the Canadian Canola Growers Association (CCGA), the Alberta Wheat Commission (AWC), Pulse Canada, the Manitoba Pulse Growers Association (MPGA), The Western Grain Elevator Association (WGEA), the Canadian Oilseed Processors Association (COPA), the Inland Terminal Association of Canada (ITAC) and the Canadian Special Crops Association (CSCA).

[riders2010]

Why can t we get cars here locally then nothing is moving guys trying to finish harvest and nothing moving. If enough cars aren't ordered it doesn't matter if 100% of the ones that were arrived.
Time to get over the government that had he interest of the railway and grain companies first over farmers.
Do a report on how many farmers would like to move something today and can't. But we re so focused not on the farmer and all these figures that don't mean shit if your local terminal
Can't move anything and doesn't even move all crops any more.

[sawfly]

no cars yet for my oct contract . sws wheat.
not swearing yet but
if the system can not handle a drought reduced crop , what hope is there for a big one

[wmoebis]

I don't blame RR for rejects. Most the rejects are caused from grain Co's at elevators or at ports. Sanitary is not RR job to make sure cars are properly cleaned out, lids are broken by elevators miss handling. Bottoms are broke by elev and terminal miss handling.
Now if the wheels are falling off or brakes not working that would be RR issue.