With the exchange we are selling $7.50 canola? Wonder where the other $2-$3 is?
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$10.50 canola which is what the price is today is around $7.50 US dollars. Not sure why that math is complicated. Most trade or at the very least the competing products are all sold in US dollars. Also why do you use nexera premiums for late crop year 2016 delivery as a comparison?
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Guest
- Nov 2024
vvalk is trying to point out that 10.50 CAD is $7.50 USD.
Soybeans are priced around $8.70 USD right now so following that Canola should be at least $12 CAD.
$7.50 doesn't cut it when all our inputs and most machinery are USD based.
What the price is next fall is irrelevant.
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And to add insult to injury, Soy oil, and vegetable oils are relatively stronger than meal right now, so Canola should almost be getting back to a premium over soys, not a discount. Anyone know what Canola is worth south of the border, or does it end up reflecting our price due to the relative size of the two markets?
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You do realize that the Bank of Canada engineered a bailout of commodity producers: farmer, oil, miners. etc by cutting interest rates twice which drops the currency thus stealing from savers again this year. The $7.50 US canola and soaring machinery prices are just a consequence of that policy. They are going to cut interest again in Jan as Canuckistan is headed into depression and there is nothing that can be done about it.
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A little while ago Mallee said Aussie port prices were at 530. Works out to 11.86 CAD, I think.
Backed off to Sask about the same I'm guessing.
Farmers are moving canola. Yields for many were surprisingly good. Per acre returns are showing a profit. Bins are heating. All kinds of reasons to keep it moving.
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