What's the right price for potash?

[bucket]

Potash is closing a plant out east even though it has to have a 50 dollar a tonne advantage in freight costs alone.

Allows them to keep the price up until some of the others are online.... if they don't get their grip on ks before that happens.

[Guest]

we drilled gas wells all around that mine . in fact it was sask potash that found the natural gas . the reason it's so expensive to run is because they can't keep the ocean out of it . they had a fleet of trucks hauling water back to the ocean ., 24 hrs a day . not sure if they ever built a pipeline for salt water to take it back , but basically they were circulating the ocean thru it . not sure , that was a few years back , maybe they fixed it ?

[bucket]

Maybe they are opposed to solution mining?

[Oliver88]

From the PCS website:


Saskatoon, Saskatchewan – Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. (PotashCorp) announced today that it is taking the difficult but necessary step to indefinitely suspend its Picadilly, New Brunswick potash operations. The suspension is expected to result in a workforce reduction of approximately 420-430 people in New Brunswick. A core crew of approximately 35 employees will be retained at Picadilly to keep the operation in care-and-maintenance mode.

“This is a very difficult day for our employees and our company,” said PotashCorp President and Chief Executive Officer Jochen Tilk. “While these are important steps in running a sustainable business and positioning the company to best meet the needs of its many stakeholders over the long term, such decisions are never easy. We understand the significant impact to our people in New Brunswick and the surrounding communities, and are committed to helping those affected through this challenging time.”

With an aim of minimizing the impact to jobs, more than 100 open positions will be available for New Brunswick employees to join the company’s Saskatchewan operations, along with relocation assistance. We are committed to making this transition the best it can be under the circumstances. Employees who do not remain at Picadilly or who choose not to relocate to Saskatchewan will be provided severance and assistance packages.

To assist employees and local residents, PotashCorp will also be establishing a CDN$5 million community investment fund which will include funding streams to:

· Help employees with job transition assistance, including skills training and educational support;

· Provide financial support to local businesses; and

· Support local charitable organizations.

We will work with local partners, including employees and local leaders, in the coming months on details of the fund.

Rationale

Amidst a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, the suspension of our New Brunswick operations helps position the company to:

· Optimize production to our lower-cost potash operations;

· Realize meaningful capital savings;

· Maintain long-term operational flexibility; and

· Preserve jobs across the company over the long term.

By optimizing our production, we expect to increase our competitiveness and reduce cost of goods sold by $40-$50 million in 2016, although this will be partially offset by severance and transition costs.

The suspension of potash operations at Picadilly will also eliminate significant capital expenditures, including capital of approximately $50 million in 2016 and $135 million in 2017/18.

PotashCorp’s international customers that were historically served by New Brunswick will now be served from Saskatchewan through Canpotex. PotashCorp’s storage and loading facilities at the port of Saint John – including capacity of up to 2.5 million tonnes per year – will be made available to Canpotex. East Coast transportation costs – including rail costs and ocean freight – are expected to approximate levels currently realized through West Coast delivery. The company’s volume entitlement within Canpotex will increase by 750,000 tonnes, representing an approximate 51.5 percent allotment beginning in 2016.

The Picadilly mine will be placed in care-and-maintenance mode at an estimated annual cost of $20 million in 2016 and $15 million in subsequent years. Should the company decide to resume operations at Picadilly, it would require a period of about one year.

Timeline and other details

Given that New Brunswick operations has been on inventory adjustment shut down since the end of November, the suspension of operations will be effective immediately. In addition to the core crew of people who will continue to be employed for care-and-maintenance, we anticipate up to 100 employees will remain in place through a transitional period of approximately 4 months.

As originally planned, environmental remediation work and care-and-maintenance at Cassidy Lake will continue, as will decommissioning at Penobsquis.

Severance and transition costs associated with the suspension of potash operations are expected to approximate $35 million and will be reflected in our first quarter 2016 earnings. We are currently reviewing the carrying value of our affected assets and will provide an update in our January 28, 2016 earnings release.

PotashCorp is the world’s largest crop nutrient company and plays an integral role in global food production. The company produces the three essential nutrients required to help farmers grow healthier, more abundant crops. With global population rising and diets improving in developing countries, these nutrients offer a responsible and practical solution to meeting the long-term demand for food. PotashCorp is the largest producer, by capacity, of potash and one of the largest producers of nitrogen and phosphate. While agriculture is its primary market, the company also produces products for animal nutrition and industrial uses. Common shares of Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange.

[bucket]

Interesting freight cost to the Atlantic at a level close to shipping out of vancouver.

This is a price play. They will back as soon as they can raise the price and get some government money to boot.

Strategic resource.?????