Canola Seed

[farmaholic]

It might be safe to say contract higsh may be in for now.

I wonder how nervous buyers will become if there is widespread dryness in a large part of the Prairies this spring and early summer?

[furrowtickler]

Canola acres were projected to be up 1-2 mill. Might end up about the same as last year.
Canola in this area still beats hrsw net by a lot.
Yellow pea acres will be up 30-40% , green peas down.
Staying the course here, just focus on production and watch crop and weather as we go through June / July .
Farmers are notoriously 1 year behind.
Yellow peas were $10 plus for fall - back in Jan , all over. That was a huge opertunity along with the early guys on lentils. The slide will continue till fall unless a drought kicks in full gear.
Going to be an interesting year.

[highwayman]

Canola acres will be down 20% on our farm. Durum acres down 20% as well. 30% of new crop red and large green lentils priced at 40 and 45 cents respectively. First time in years we have prepriced but could not resist those price levels for a portion of expected production. Green lentil market especially is very well supported going forward. Finished old crop green sales at $50/bus recently as that market still has some traction. Moisture conditions in south central sask currently quite good. Recent 4-6 inch wet snowfall should make for decent seeding conditions after heavy rains last fall. Water running on weekend but should be minimal run off so far. Raining this morning

[SASKFARMER3]

Canola acres will be down! Did a big drive since home and basically snow is a non issue! Regina none all way south same west till just swift a little. Same east. Pa has but not like normal and Hudson Bay you can sled but not far off trail.
Lentil acres will be up huge! We have guys seeding north for crop insurance. Idiots priced wrong! Peas are up also but better to do lentils 7.50 crap insurance doesn't work. Yes 10 was out early ok middle! Wheat at 6.50 plus was also!
We can't grow lentils so why grow for crap insurance!
Hrs will be down and down quite a bit!
If the weather pattern doesn't change ouch it's a drought!

[farmaholic]

Re Precipitation.

The same thing I bitched and moaned about last year seems to have happened all winter so far... Systems slipping past of petering out before they get here. Oh woe is me...I might be looking for work and somewhere to live after next fall. I'm an easy keeper...low maintenance!

[Klause]

SF3,


Do you think you'd have a drought problem there?


Was having a couple beers with my neighbour the other day... he pulled out his old record book... years gone past 1 to 2 inches of rain in the growing season but huge spring moisture (fall rain... snow... spring rain...) and grew very nice crops on that.


Our soil here is completely saturated. Was digging a burning pit with the trackhoe about 14' deep by morning there was 3' of water in it. Frost only about a foot down and it's very soft compared to other years.

[SASKFARMER3]

No not even close! But just watching the winter storms were wet as all. South valley nothing! Dugouts full from runoff and water sitting!

[furrowtickler]

In 2000 it was a dry winter here . One huge dump of wet heavy snow that came around the 20th of April grew a good crop for many west of here with very limited summer rain . Agree , anything can happen yet between now and seeding .
We could have well above runoff here if these spring storms keep going through. Still solid white here with good snowmobile conditions. Moisture in the snow we have is very high now, had a good 1/2 in rain / snow again last night. Soil profile is full from last fall